ScoobyDoo
NPC
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
Is that before or after Florida is entirely under water?
Is that before or after Florida is entirely under water?
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2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
- Thread starter Ralph Baer
- Start date
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
Build them inland on rivers.
Or, you know, stop burning fossil fuels.
Build them inland on rivers.
Or, you know, stop burning fossil fuels.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
Or 10 year events.
Or 10 year events.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
He's probably kinda busy. Also I suspect the power grid isn't in the best shape.
He's probably kinda busy. Also I suspect the power grid isn't in the best shape.
unofan
Well-known member
that's not how 100-year events work...
dxmnkd316
Lucia Apologist
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
I want you to review this map (link). Go and find the major cities in the US. NYC, Chicago, Houston, LA, Philadelphia. All of them have large sections of the city that are in a 500-year floodplain. They don't even show 1,000-year floodplains because those are considered to be Zone X. That's what we're experiencing here. A flood that impacts Zone X areas. Find Dickinson, TX on that map. It's all Zone X and not considered to be a floodway. The entire town is underwater today.
I'm guessing you live in a Zone X area. Now look at the north metro in the Twin Cities. There are large swaths of Zone A. How about Duluth, MN? There are massive areas that aren't even classified, yet this.
It's going to cost tens of trillions of dollars to mitigate all of the potential issues across the nation with 1,000-year floods, if that's your criteria. You are living in a fantasy world if we decide to stop putting people in flood plains. And why stop there? Why not ban new construction in seismically active areas? What about all hurricane-prone areas? It's going to be impossible to mitigate this kind of risk. All you can do is what we do today. Map out potential flood areas and require insurance for some of these areas. Many (most?) mortgage companies require you to carry flood insurance if you live anywhere with risk greater than Zone X.
The reality is that something like 40-50 percent of the US population lives near a coastline. How do you solve that? It's going to take generations and a complete shift in human behavior. We need to live near coastal areas since that's where the bulk of commerce occurs. I'm not saying we shouldn't do anything. I'm saying we have to be realistic.
*3% of the US population lived in a 100-year coastal floodplain. Link I don't think that includes all of the inland areas.
I want you to review this map (link). Go and find the major cities in the US. NYC, Chicago, Houston, LA, Philadelphia. All of them have large sections of the city that are in a 500-year floodplain. They don't even show 1,000-year floodplains because those are considered to be Zone X. That's what we're experiencing here. A flood that impacts Zone X areas. Find Dickinson, TX on that map. It's all Zone X and not considered to be a floodway. The entire town is underwater today.
I'm guessing you live in a Zone X area. Now look at the north metro in the Twin Cities. There are large swaths of Zone A. How about Duluth, MN? There are massive areas that aren't even classified, yet this.
It's going to cost tens of trillions of dollars to mitigate all of the potential issues across the nation with 1,000-year floods, if that's your criteria. You are living in a fantasy world if we decide to stop putting people in flood plains. And why stop there? Why not ban new construction in seismically active areas? What about all hurricane-prone areas? It's going to be impossible to mitigate this kind of risk. All you can do is what we do today. Map out potential flood areas and require insurance for some of these areas. Many (most?) mortgage companies require you to carry flood insurance if you live anywhere with risk greater than Zone X.
The reality is that something like 40-50 percent of the US population lives near a coastline. How do you solve that? It's going to take generations and a complete shift in human behavior. We need to live near coastal areas since that's where the bulk of commerce occurs. I'm not saying we shouldn't do anything. I'm saying we have to be realistic.
*3% of the US population lived in a 100-year coastal floodplain. Link I don't think that includes all of the inland areas.
mookie1995
there's a good buck in that racket.
Tell that to the 100 yr events then - as they keep showing up early
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
It's a trade off. People choose to live next to rivers, lakes and oceans for economic reasons. Sometimes you pay the price for that choice, most of the time you benefit economically from it. Mother nature can be a biatch sometimes.
It's a trade off. People choose to live next to rivers, lakes and oceans for economic reasons. Sometimes you pay the price for that choice, most of the time you benefit economically from it. Mother nature can be a biatch sometimes.
mookie1995
there's a good buck in that racket.
mookie1995
there's a good buck in that racket.
Misogyny alert!!!!!
ScoobyDoo
NPC
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
This is what I mean by doing more now.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...cfc842a6d89_story.html?utm_term=.e5a85b5eda93
And how much more of this crap and coverup is going on now across the country? Also, this:
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/15/...cture-climate-change-trump-obama.html?mcubz=1
I believe in science and engineering. But science and engineering can only work if we listen to them and regulate what needs regulating. I feel sorry for these people in Houston but rest assured if I lived there I would've had flood insurance and if I couldn't have flood insurance I would not have lived there.
This is what I mean by doing more now.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...cfc842a6d89_story.html?utm_term=.e5a85b5eda93
And how much more of this crap and coverup is going on now across the country? Also, this:
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/15/...cture-climate-change-trump-obama.html?mcubz=1
I believe in science and engineering. But science and engineering can only work if we listen to them and regulate what needs regulating. I feel sorry for these people in Houston but rest assured if I lived there I would've had flood insurance and if I couldn't have flood insurance I would not have lived there.
Jimjamesak
Already insane, UAA making it worse
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
In response to building in seismically active areas, I know here in Alaska (and in California) we pretty strict building codes for mitigating damage done by earthquakes. A lot of public buildings like schools are usually retrofitted to meet these codes at big cost. And all of these codes were developed after years of expensive research.
In contrast to that, you really haven't seen as much effort to preventing or mitigating flood damage in places like Houston.
In response to building in seismically active areas, I know here in Alaska (and in California) we pretty strict building codes for mitigating damage done by earthquakes. A lot of public buildings like schools are usually retrofitted to meet these codes at big cost. And all of these codes were developed after years of expensive research.
In contrast to that, you really haven't seen as much effort to preventing or mitigating flood damage in places like Houston.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
Insurance rates can take care of most of this. You want to build on a fault line? As you wish; now enjoy premiums as large as your mortgage.
Do the same with property in a flood zone. Individual buyer and seller decisions will shift businesses, jobs, commercial and residential space over time.
Here are the 100/500 year maps for NYC. Assume within the next few decades all of that land becomes at immediate risk of flooding if the GOP sh-tbirds keep destroying the planet.
Over those same decades all of those areas could be all but vacated -- maybe even replaced with some sort of wildlife preserve that doesn't mind occasional flooding. Not like anybody's gonna miss Sheepshead Bay.
Insurance rates can take care of most of this. You want to build on a fault line? As you wish; now enjoy premiums as large as your mortgage.
Do the same with property in a flood zone. Individual buyer and seller decisions will shift businesses, jobs, commercial and residential space over time.
Here are the 100/500 year maps for NYC. Assume within the next few decades all of that land becomes at immediate risk of flooding if the GOP sh-tbirds keep destroying the planet.
Over those same decades all of those areas could be all but vacated -- maybe even replaced with some sort of wildlife preserve that doesn't mind occasional flooding. Not like anybody's gonna miss Sheepshead Bay.
Last edited:
hockeyplayer1015
Capt
I'm in good shape, safe and sound in my floating penthouse (inland towboat). Yesterday we really didn't get any rain, today it's been steady but not too heavy.
Kep, busy? Hah. Not much for me to do other than babysit my equipment and watch the clouds go by.
unofan
Well-known member
You're missing the point of my objection. A 100-year event in Houston is independent of a 100-year event in NYC. If 1000-year, city destroying events become 100-year events, we won't be rebuilding one city every 100 years, we'll be rebuilding every city every 100 years (on average).
ScoobyDoo
NPC
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
Great article. Everyone should read the last section titled "Houston wasn’t even prepared for a 15-year flood". That pretty well sums it up.
Great article. Everyone should read the last section titled "Houston wasn’t even prepared for a 15-year flood". That pretty well sums it up.
Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
This may be a dumb question but did you go out to sea during the actual winds? My landlubber's understanding is that the two great enemies of ships during a storm are fire and sh-t you can ram into. Not much to do about #1, but #2 they solve by actually leaving port and riding it out.
This may be a dumb question but did you go out to sea during the actual winds? My landlubber's understanding is that the two great enemies of ships during a storm are fire and sh-t you can ram into. Not much to do about #1, but #2 they solve by actually leaving port and riding it out.
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
Honestly, there is probably a limited amount you can do regarding flooding in Houston. The City is basically built on a swamp. Maybe there are additional things they can do such as flood walls or the like, but when major events happen, you just have to take your medicine for choosing to live in such a place.
The same with a place like San Francisco. It is about as far from a "conservative" city as we can get in this country, so I'm sure their preparedness for earthquakes is non pareil. But when an earthquake hits that is well beyond the magnitude of anything seen before, it's going to be a mess there.
Honestly, there is probably a limited amount you can do regarding flooding in Houston. The City is basically built on a swamp. Maybe there are additional things they can do such as flood walls or the like, but when major events happen, you just have to take your medicine for choosing to live in such a place.
The same with a place like San Francisco. It is about as far from a "conservative" city as we can get in this country, so I'm sure their preparedness for earthquakes is non pareil. But when an earthquake hits that is well beyond the magnitude of anything seen before, it's going to be a mess there.
ScoobyDoo
NPC
Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...
From the article that jerphisch posted:
Again. No one is saying you can do everything. What I am saying is we're not doing enough. Not even close. And the evidence to that effect is staggering.
From the article that jerphisch posted:
Again. No one is saying you can do everything. What I am saying is we're not doing enough. Not even close. And the evidence to that effect is staggering.