USCHO Fan Forum
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
-
The USCHO Fan Forum has migrated to a new plaform, xenForo. Most of the function of the forum should work in familiar ways. Please note that you can switch between light and dark modes by clicking on the gear icon in the upper right of the main menu bar. We are hoping that this new platform will prove to be faster and more reliable. Please feel free to explore its features.
2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
- Thread starter Ralph Baer
- Start date
FadeToBlack&Gold
Kettle Medallion
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Guy I went to HS with wrote the 5 PM Katia forecast. It was his first for the NHC.
Guy I went to HS with wrote the 5 PM Katia forecast. It was his first for the NHC.
bigblue_dl
Armed
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
How is that NSFW? You can see more skin on Yahoo's front page.Kepler, I'm going to have to sit you down and teach you to link and tag with NSFW rather than all of these pictures you've been pasting over the forum.
mookie1995
there's a good buck in that racket.
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
i just checked again, i don't see one single nipple! not a nip!
Kepler, I'm going to have to sit you down and teach you to link and tag with NSFW rather than all of these pictures you've been pasting over the forum.
i just checked again, i don't see one single nipple! not a nip!
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Within a few days, models (not the ones pictured here) will have a better grip on what this storm will do. The latest models have it further south, and progressing further west than the models a few days ago. We'll see what happens. I believe based on past storms at Katia's current position, around 50% have gone out to sea.
As for the storm in the Gulf, it should become Lee and soak New Orleans with up to 24 inches of rain based on some models.
As for Maria, well that could be gaining strength in the Northern Atlantic, and if it is named, it wont last long and will just pester the fish/birds and boats.
Within a few days, models (not the ones pictured here) will have a better grip on what this storm will do. The latest models have it further south, and progressing further west than the models a few days ago. We'll see what happens. I believe based on past storms at Katia's current position, around 50% have gone out to sea.
As for the storm in the Gulf, it should become Lee and soak New Orleans with up to 24 inches of rain based on some models.
As for Maria, well that could be gaining strength in the Northern Atlantic, and if it is named, it wont last long and will just pester the fish/birds and boats.
Kepler
Cornell Big Red
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
The more I look at that picture, the more I think the one on the right is Brittany from Glee.
(Don't you judge me.)
Sorry.Kepler, I'm going to have to sit you down and teach you to link and tag with NSFW rather than all of these pictures you've been pasting over the forum.
The more I look at that picture, the more I think the one on the right is Brittany from Glee.
(Don't you judge me.)
Kepler
Cornell Big Red
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Dumb question: why don't the birds just give it a wide berth? I'd think the pressure changes would give them lots of warning. (I can see the fish would be screwed.)
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Only judging your poor eyesight. Don't think she looks like Brittany at all. And she's a dancer. Sheesh.
Only judging your poor eyesight. Don't think she looks like Brittany at all. And she's a dancer. Sheesh.
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Most of us focus on high winds when we think about hurricanes, and that's not wrong. But after they've made landfall, and the TV cameras are shut down, these storms can deliver incredible amounts of rain that can cause loss of life and terrible property damage. We're seeing that in the wake of Irene. Ten years ago, Tropical Storm Allison, stalled over Houston and in about a six day period, dropped something like 40 inches of rain. Now Houston is flood prone anyway, but you dump over three feet of rain on any city of any size and you're going to have problems.
The horror story that emerged from Allison was the lady who got into an elevator to go down to the garage. The garage was flooded and somehow she hadn't gotten the word. The doors to the elevator opened, and in the twinkling of an eye it was filled with water and she drowned.
Most of us focus on high winds when we think about hurricanes, and that's not wrong. But after they've made landfall, and the TV cameras are shut down, these storms can deliver incredible amounts of rain that can cause loss of life and terrible property damage. We're seeing that in the wake of Irene. Ten years ago, Tropical Storm Allison, stalled over Houston and in about a six day period, dropped something like 40 inches of rain. Now Houston is flood prone anyway, but you dump over three feet of rain on any city of any size and you're going to have problems.
The horror story that emerged from Allison was the lady who got into an elevator to go down to the garage. The garage was flooded and somehow she hadn't gotten the word. The doors to the elevator opened, and in the twinkling of an eye it was filled with water and she drowned.
Farce Poobah
Registered User
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Most models have a mid-latitude low-pressure trough pulling Katia north. UKMET weakens that trough and sends a high pressure ridge back north of Katia and steering it west-northwest instead of north.
That's the DISCUSSION section on the latest NWS Katia update talking, not me.
Can somebody explain why the UKMET model tracks so far to the south and west as opposed to the other models?? Thanks
Most models have a mid-latitude low-pressure trough pulling Katia north. UKMET weakens that trough and sends a high pressure ridge back north of Katia and steering it west-northwest instead of north.
That's the DISCUSSION section on the latest NWS Katia update talking, not me.
dxmnkd316
Lucia Apologist
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
A Glee cast member? hahahaha. Probably all strippers or porn stars.
A Glee cast member? hahahaha. Probably all strippers or porn stars.
Kepler
Cornell Big Red
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
It all depends on how long the High stays in place, which would force it further south. A disturbance is supposed to curve Katia north, and thats where the models vary. Tropical Storm Talas in the Pacific plays a huge role in this. The storm is supposed to reach Alaska and become Extra-tropical. The stronger that Extra-tropical storm gets off Alaska, the better the chance Katia will be turned out to sea. If the storm off Alaska is a dud...then the high stays in place longer and the disturbance isnt strong, Katia comes real close and possible landfall on the East coast. The Computer models, from my understanding, have a real hard time forecasting extra-tropical storms and their actual strength. So, 2-3 days when Talas reaches the Bering Sea, computers will have a much better handle on the path.
It all depends on how long the High stays in place, which would force it further south. A disturbance is supposed to curve Katia north, and thats where the models vary. Tropical Storm Talas in the Pacific plays a huge role in this. The storm is supposed to reach Alaska and become Extra-tropical. The stronger that Extra-tropical storm gets off Alaska, the better the chance Katia will be turned out to sea. If the storm off Alaska is a dud...then the high stays in place longer and the disturbance isnt strong, Katia comes real close and possible landfall on the East coast. The Computer models, from my understanding, have a real hard time forecasting extra-tropical storms and their actual strength. So, 2-3 days when Talas reaches the Bering Sea, computers will have a much better handle on the path.
hockeyplayer1015
Capt
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Update from NOLA,
winds haven't been too bad, usually in the 30's so far. Lots of rain though, about 4 inches in greater NOLA, 6-8" down south. The shipyard I'm at has atleast 2 ft of flooding in the parking lot now, mostly from storm surge/tidal rise.
Watching the local news coverage, pumps have been doing a pretty good job so far of not letting the canals fill up, but its still early.
Update from NOLA,
winds haven't been too bad, usually in the 30's so far. Lots of rain though, about 4 inches in greater NOLA, 6-8" down south. The shipyard I'm at has atleast 2 ft of flooding in the parking lot now, mostly from storm surge/tidal rise.
Watching the local news coverage, pumps have been doing a pretty good job so far of not letting the canals fill up, but its still early.
dxmnkd316
Lucia Apologist
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
I know you're joking. But eh, I've always hated that excuse.
I know you're joking. But eh, I've always hated that excuse.
mookie1995
there's a good buck in that racket.
Ralph Baer
Let's Go 'Tute!
Re: 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Maria http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents
Maria http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents