You don’t have to be a political expert to know that if she is calling out Trump in a seat he won by double digits, Republicans are terrified of losing their House seats.
Indeed, in just the past week, Democrats have seen their lead on the generic congressional ballot jump more than 2 points, according to RealClearPolitics’
polling average. That’s a massive leap in such a short amount of time. Democrats are now ahead on the generic ballot by a whopping 8.7 points. That’s more than the
8.3-point lead Democrats had on this day in the 2018 cycle.
Democrats are being boosted by Hispanic voters, who appear to be
swinging back toward Team Blue after drifting right in previous elections.
A Cook Political Report
poll of Hispanic voters in Texas released last week, for example, found that Trump’s approval with the voting bloc has cratered. Just 33% of Hispanic likely voters in Texas approve of the job Trump is doing in office. The poll found that among Texas Hispanics, Democrats lead on the generic ballot by a whopping 14 points—a number that could
cost seats they had gerrymandered last year to try to draw their way to a House majority.
As for Salazar, both
Cook and the nonpartisan handicapping outlet Inside Elections rate the race a “
Likely Republican” contest.
But a poll released earlier this week found Salazar
tied with her Democratic opponent, former television news anchor Eliott Rodriguez. And Salazar’s new ad tells us that those numbers may indeed be right. Salazar is clearly sweating.
If a Republican candidate in a Trump+15 seat feels she needs to distance herself from her party’s leader, November is going to be an absolute bloodbath for the GOP.