As per Mike McMahon's article, CHN's Pairwise Probability Matrix Lowell has a 72% chance of making the tournament currently.
conference regular season ultimately doesn't matter except for home court and at this point... lol.Good win for MBB today, finally. They're currently 6th in AE (out of 9) and have four games left, all against teams in front of them, as they play teams ranked 1, 2, 3 and 5 in league play (2 at home, 2 on the road). Lowell is 5-7 in league play, one game behind the teams currently tied for 4th (and the last home court spot for the quarterfinals). So they'll need to win and also hope for help.
15th now.Another bad loss. Just disappointing. Last night's results actually improved our PWR to #11. Will see what this loss does (and how other results go tonight).
People have said this for a while, and the stats don't back it up. Lowell has had a better record after break compared to before break in just 4 of Norm's 13 seasons behind the bench.Historically, Bazin teams get better as the year goes on and they start playing cohesive hockey right about now.
Month | W | L | T | |
Sep/Oct | 45 | 30 | 9 | 0.589 |
Nov | 58 | 27 | 10 | 0.663 |
Dec | 30 | 20 | 5 | 0.591 |
Jan | 56 | 35 | 6 | 0.608 |
Feb | 48 | 40 | 13 | 0.540 |
Mar/Apr | 40 | 29 | 3 | 0.576 |
Overall | 277 | 181 | 46 | 0.595 |
People have said this for a while, and the stats don't back it up. Lowell has had a better record after break compared to before break in just 4 of Norm's 13 seasons behind the bench.
Breaking it down by month, February is the worst month overall under Norm, followed by March.
Month W L T Sep/Oct 45 30 9 0.589 Nov 58 27 10 0.663 Dec 30 20 5 0.591 Jan 56 35 6 0.608 Feb 48 40 13 0.540 Mar/Apr 40 29 3 0.576 Overall 277 181 46 0.595
Down to 45% after the weekend games.As per Mike McMahon's article, CHN's Pairwise Probability Matrix Lowell has a 72% chance of making the tournament currently.
Penn State had a big weekend with a tie and a win at #2 Michigan State.Going to be watching Penn State, Quinnipiac, and Arizona State with a close eye next weekend. All only have two games left and they won't be easy. Ideally Penn State (somehow) gets swept at home vs. Minnesota, Quinnipiac splits with the north country teams, and Arizona State splits with Omaha. Not a stats or advanced analytics guy but if those scenarios happen and Lowell is able to go 2-2 then I think they can grab the #13 seed. Could be completely wrong about all of this but I think that's the most realistic scenario for them to get in. Quinnipiac is on fire and Penn State is at home and already played two close games on the road against Minnesota, so again, I still think it's a long shot.