I am not mad about it or anything...just seems weird because you know better. I mean look into some of the polls they use...you would be better off using mooki and the random chicks he talks to in Pennsylvania as an indicator.
I admit though, I just heard an interview with a guy from The Nation which was not kind to them (before and after Silver left) because they fall for the obvious Republican plant polls so I might be testier with them even more than usual
Warning: rant about to make landfall. Not directed at you. It is a scream into the wind.
But is there a better one?
I'm using what I have.
I agree, they foul their data with obviously terrible partisan polls, but (1) I'm not sure there are overwhelmingly more R than D BS polls, and (2) they do seem to be lining up with real polling. It does seems like the Dems are ahead in the Rust Belt and the fasc are tied or ahead in the Sun Belt. I have seen no indication that the real voting results will be wildly different -- like Harris takes Wisconsin by 7 or something. So I post to see trending. And because I'm scared and this is my self care (such as it is).
If I used my intuition I would look at how wildly repellent and inept not just the top of the ticket but all of the GOP is and I would think "no way can anybody normal vote for these tools; they're going to lose by 30 everywhere except the Slave States," but I know from experience that nope, 97% of their voters will accept full on Naziism and either ignore it, rationalize it, or glory in it. That
is who they are. I have no BS detector anymore -- the smell of BS has been so strong from the Right for 20 years it has destroyed all sensory organs.
I am desperately worried that the reactionary people of our country are going to throw away democracy, irrevocably, not just because of one impotent cowardly demagogue, but because they have
never believed in it. What they have believed in, and what gave us stability for 235 years, was the fossilization of their bigotries and superstitions in our laws. Now that there are
finally a sufficient number of people voting to change that, they are deliberately choosing their ethnostate over a democratic republic. That is heartbreaking. At the heart of American conservatism is Afrikaner-level apartheid bigotry, and terror of equality, and because I am selfish I am butthurt: that is what I get for believing in regular everyday people as a good socialist and thinking the real problem was freeing them from the oppression of the the economic elites.
Turns out: nope, it's
them. They don't care as long as they have a colored neighbor they can kick in the teeth.