Re: World Soccer XXVIII: Campeones de NorteAmérica.
Re: World Soccer XXVIII: Campeones de NorteAmérica.
Mexico is winning at least. *shrug*
Panama and Honduras going 0 points in their last two is possible but that just really means Panama plays Australia.
So, Mexico and Costa Rica draw. Not a great result for the US, but not the worst I guess. As expected, Panama cleans up against Trinidad & Tobago 3-0.
Current Hex Table:
Mexico - 18 Points (Qualified)
Costa Rica - 15 Points (Can finish no worse than 4th)
Panama - 10 Points (+2 GD)
USA - 9 Points (+1 GD)
Honduras - 9 Points (-7 GD)
Trinidad & Tobago - 3 Points (Can finish no better than 4th)
US - Panama is the key game of the final two legs. A US win coupled with a Costa Rica win at home against Honduras (and Mexico beats T&T), would put the hex at:
Mexico - 21 Points (Qualified)
Costa Rica - 18 Points (Qualified)
USA - 12 Points (@ T&T) (at least +2 GD)
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Panama - 10 Points (vs Costa Rica) (at best +1 GD)
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Honduras - 9 Points (vs Mexico) (at best -8 GD)
Trinidad & Tobago - 3 Points (Eliminated)
In this scenario, a win against T&T assures qualification. A draw could also put us through, unless Panama beat Costa Rica by 2+ goals and tilt the GD in their favor. If the US and Panama finish even on GD, the US will likely win the tiebreaker due to having (currently) scored 5 more goals. The US may not even need a result, if Panama is unable to beat Costa Rica.
The more concerning scenario is if the US draws with Panama. That would leave the hex at:
Mexico - 21 Points (Qualified)
Costa Rica - 18 Points (Qualified)
Panama - 11 Points (vs Costa Rica) (+2 GD)
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USA - 10 Points (@ T&T) (+1 GD)
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Honduras - 9 Points (vs Mexico) (at best -8 GD)
Trinidad & Tobago - 3 Points (Eliminated)
Here, the US would have to defeat T&T and then need a Panama draw/loss at home to Costa Rica to qualify 3rd. If Panama won, the US would be locked in 4th and playing either Syria (that would be interesting on multiple levels) or, more likely, Australia. The US could also potentially be eliminated from qualification altogether if they drew or lost at T&T.
In sum, the US better show up and beat Panama October 6th. If they do, they should qualify. If they don't...it gets hairy pretty quick.