Re: World Soccer XI: To South Africa, and Beyond!
Baltimore appears to have commissioned a stadium feasibility study to discuss the possibility (I assume) of capturing the team. Of course thats in the very early stages, but you wonder if that plan progresses, whether it might get the attention of DC and/or a metro accessible burb. Another title wouldn't hurt either.
I don't trust the Baltimore thing much. It was commissioned specifically by Mayor Dixon after the success of the international games there this summer, but da good Mare is now going to spend some time in the Pokey.
This study is being done by the Maryland Stadium Authority, the same folks that did an earlier study on putting a
stadium in PG County - which, of course, fell through in
spectacular fashion.
The thing is, I don't see how a Baltimore study will be any different than the PG one. It will say the same thing - you can finance X dollars with a ticket tax and bonding, and the rest will have to be met with either public contributions or team contributions. PG County balked at that, particularly because a lot of the stadium benefits were nebulous and couldn't be captured via a tax or a fee, and they would have had to increase their bonding to pay for it, including the opportunity costs of not bonding something else.
Basically, that math will remain the same. The public contribution, almost regardless of where it goes, will be X, and the team will likely have to make up the rest. I can't see Baltimore City making up the rest right now.
From an MLS perspective, I'd love to have teams in both Ballmer and DC at some point, but they are effectively one market at this time. Moving United to Baltimore would effective write off a good portion of the very lucrative DC soccer market for the long term. This isn't like moving a team away and then bringing another one in, Cleveland Browns style. If they end up in Baltimore, they're going to be missing out on the core of DC for a long time.
So, with that in mind, I hope MLS is patient. DC has had the strongest attendance, year in and year out, outside of LA. They were the first team to really embrace the supporter's culture, which has directly blazed a path for later successes in Toronto and Seattle. And, from a business side, it should be worth it for the league to take some losses in the DC market in order to establish a long term presence there. They did that in New York, and it's about to pay off with the opening of Red Bull Arena (and did someone say something about
a little star power?).