You do realize the committee does have guidelines they have to use correct? I know its been discussed a hundred or so times, but just making sure. This isn't a "gut feeling" list they come up with. This isn't a "get behind closed doors and pick teams at random just so we can ****** (insert team here) with an evil laugh" as some want to make it seem. The whole "smoke filled room" m has more to deal with the NCAA not releasing their first "secret" ranking (which still doesn't make sense), and their reasoning for seedings (weighing one criteria over another). Most people who sit down and crunch the criteria numbers normally come up with the right field, its the seeding that normally gets mixed up. Keep in mind tho, if the committee uses head to head this year more so then winning % for one team, they have to use that SAME theory to the WHOLE field. Normally SOS is weighed more so then anything else (which normally helps ECAC W teams). Its happened a few times where the teams were ranked and the 6th ranked team had a 4-1 criteria win over the 5th ranked team, but the 5th ranked team had a much much strong SOS, thus the higher ranking. In short too, just because Utica has a 2-0 head to head win over Oswego, if the committee weighed common opponents higher (which Oswego currently wins) winning % it would come down to ranked teams (part of me thinks Utica would still win) but if not and Oswego wins criteria 4-1, that 2-0 common oppenets could be squat. This isn't DI with 30+ regular season games, plus A LOT more cross over mettings, so you can't strictly go by numbers as some would love to see. DIII has to many weak teams, you have to have some sort of objectivity. I've always been against a pure numbers selection for DIII hockey and always will until we no longer have such weak leagues/teams. No the committee doesn't always "get it right" with what "we" (us fans) think should have happened and some team always gets screwed, we know that and have known that for years.
If Utica drops the game Sunday, every game after becomes a playoff game. If they win, they could still afford to lose another game and still be in the drivers seat. Amherst beating Bowdoin was a huge help there over Bowdoin, SNC losing again could really limit the "wests" Pool C bids. They will probably need UWEC to win out and lose in the playoffs to get two bids (IMO). The NCHA still has a 2 game series for their first round, so a team could still get another loss and advance. In short, Utica is still in decent shape, no life support yet. But if they lose another 2 games, and other teams keep winning it could get very interesting.