Kepler
Si certus es dubita
So much of this (the entire situation, not just aviation one) begs the question "Ok, so let's say Russian 'wins' and absorbs Ukraine. Now way? Who's going to do business with them beyond China and a few others? They're a larger, whiter North Korea."
Plus they'll be fighting a guerilla insurgency for as long as they occupy it. They can't set up a puppet and leave, he'll fall in a day. So then they're the Harkonen on Dune, and the Fremen are everywhere.
They probably ride iceworms.