Re: Trump First Term I: I for One Welcome Our New Trumpy Overlord
Until the courts are stacked.
The divide between parties isn't economic...its educational and racial - the two most extreme dimensions.
Per 538, Hillary was up an average of +26% over Trump in the 50 most educated counties (vs. +17% for Obama vs. Romney). And she was down -31% to Trump in the 50 least educated counties (vs. -19% for Obama vs. Romney).
Hillary won 37% of the white vote to Trump's 58%. Hillary won Hispanics by +36% over Trump and Blacks by +80%.
An interesting ruling in Wisconsin that could change the contours of future elections considerably, especially 2020:
http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_t...er_the_supreme_court_could_take_the_case.html
To be honest, I've never really understood the arguments for gerrymandering. It seems like an independent redistricting commission along the lines of what happens in Arizona and California would be much closer to ideal. Why you would allow politicians to draw lines to ensure their own elections has never made much sense. There are a number of mathematical models out there (Sam Wang has one) that would almost eliminate the need for human input into this.
Until the courts are stacked.
Interesting article in today's WaPo. (google Trump economy election Washington Post to bypass the paywall) The 1% went for Hillary - big. The rest went for tD. There's a divide, and it's economic, not political.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...p-top-table-main_economy-1125a:homepage/story
The divide between parties isn't economic...its educational and racial - the two most extreme dimensions.
Per 538, Hillary was up an average of +26% over Trump in the 50 most educated counties (vs. +17% for Obama vs. Romney). And she was down -31% to Trump in the 50 least educated counties (vs. -19% for Obama vs. Romney).
Hillary won 37% of the white vote to Trump's 58%. Hillary won Hispanics by +36% over Trump and Blacks by +80%.