Re: This is a little outrageous! Pairwise Benefits for ECAC vs. Hockey East, WCHA, CC
You know what's even more outrageous? Fully HALF of the teams exit the tournament each year with a record of 0.000! Unbelievable! Those teams clearly don't deserve to be in the tournament!! They are horrible - just look at that. Zero point zero, zero, freaking zero!
Seriously, though, 8 teams exit at .000, 4 at .500, etc, so the average tournament record is 0.318. It's hardly surprising that teams which enter the tournaments as low seeds (as ECAC teams typically do) end up with poor overall records. That's what single-elimination tournaments do to low seeds.
Edit: and if the ECAC has 6 wins to go with their 16 bids, that's an overall record of 6-16, or .273. Yes, that's worse than the "average" expected value of .318, but not so low that it should inspire threads shouting "TRAVESHAMOCKERY!"
What a bizarre response. I don't consider
losses mathematically when I think about postseason play, because, yes, 15 out of 16 teams will exit with a loss. What if you matchup with a conference foe in the 1st game. .500 no matter what. Not very telling.
But if you wanted to run with that approach, Hockey East went 40-26 for a .606% during that span. Not bad seeing as you'll be guarranteed losses by all but 1 of your participants. Of those losses, I can think of several occasions of Hockey East teams knocking each other out. Maine beat BC in 2004, and beat UMass in 2007 for example.
Since 15 teams are going to lose an NCAA playoff game this year, my hope is that the field of 16 is as competitive as possible, so when the 1 team who went on a 4 game win streak emerges, the feeling is that they were challenged each step of the way with the best college hockey has to offer.
"Ask RIT" ... well sure, that was a great story, but 'any team can beat any team any given day'. Did they play Top-15 caliber hockey all year? Should they have been there in the 1st place? When Wisconsin advanced to the NC game, were they challenged with some of the best competition the 2009/2010 college hockey season had to offer? Or were they playing a team coming off a hot weekend/goalie 2 weeks ago?
The system is fragile. As long as you're in, all it takes is that 4 game win streak. Realistic or not, a team can have an 0-34-0 regular season record and be national champions.