Kepler
Cornell Big Red
538 summary:
- In the race for Wisconsin Supreme Court, liberal Janet Protasiewicz defeated conservative Dan Kelly 55 percent to 45 percent, as of 11:15 p.m. Eastern, per the Associated Press. As a result, liberals have taken control of the court for the first time since 2008. This could have huge policy implications: The court will soon hear a case over whether Wisconsin’s 1849 abortion ban is legal, and it now seems likely to be overturned. The newly liberal court may also rule that the state’s congressional and/or legislative maps are illegal Republican gerrymanders, which could give Democrats a chance to win one or two more congressional seats and several more legislative seats.
- In the race for Chicago mayor, progressive Democrat Brandon Johnson defeated conservative Democrat Paul Vallas 51 percent to 49 percent, as of 11:15 p.m. Eastern. This was a mild upset, as Vallas had led in almost every poll (albeit by small margins). It also means that progressives will lead two of America’s three largest cities, with Los Angeles being the other and New York City being the exception.