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The 2022 Pairwise Predictor is live!

I found a scenario that ends up with the WCHA holding all of the top four positions:

Northeastern has to lose in the HE quarters or semis;
Quinnipiac has to beat Colgate in the ECAC final;
UMD has to beat Wisconsin in the WCHA final

Edit: Oh, god, NEWHA and CHA make this complicated. The above scenario works so long as:
LIU makes the semis in NEWHA, so long as Syracuse doesn't win the CHA; if Syracuse does win the CHA, LIU needs to win NEWHA
If Lindenwood makes the CHA semis, LIU does not have to make the NEWHA semis
 
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Hard as I and they try, I don't think that Wisconsin can play themselves out of the field. One saving grace is Clarkson and Quinnipiac playing one another; somebody has to lose.

Edit: unless there are upset winners in both HE and ECAC. BC and Cornell, for example
 
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robertearle said:
Hard as I and they try, I don't think that Wisconsin can play themselves out of the field. One saving grace is Clarkson and Quinnipiac playing one another; somebody has to lose.

Edit: unless there are upset winners in both HE and ECAC. BC and Cornell, for example
Click to expand...

I was able to get UW out -- it requires them dropping at least one game to BSU, Cornell or SLU winning ECAC, Vermont winning WHEA, UMD winning WCHA. But I was able to make that happen.
 
Assuming no upsets in the first round of the WCHA, Wisconsin plays Ohio State in the WCHA semis.

And then, if you just take the 'higher seed' defaults, Wisconsin ends up at #7. And assuming they get past Clarkson, they would be set up to play... #2 Ohio State.

LOL, and SMH...
 
robertearle said:
Assuming no upsets in the first round of the WCHA, Wisconsin plays Ohio State in the WCHA semis.

And then, if you just take the 'higher seed' defaults, Wisconsin ends up at #7. And assuming they get past Clarkson, they would be set up to play... #2 Ohio State.

LOL, and SMH...
Click to expand...

When I was testing this I thought that UW falling to #7 with all chalk had to have been a programming error, and I went through everything trying to find my mistake. But no, everything really is just that nuts this year. Wisconsin really drops to 7th if all the favorites win. Bonkers.
 
I've found a couple of scenarios that get Northeastern up to #2 over Ohio State, but, so long as Minnesota and OSU don't drop any games to St Cloud and St Thomas, it is extremely likely that those are your top two seeds. And it looks like the Buckeyes need to win the WCHA tournament to get the #1 seed.
 
play-by-play guy said:
Cornell doesn't show in the field if picked to win ECAC. Could also be my ancient MacBook Pro, too.
Nor does RIT ;)
Click to expand...
I didn't have this issue with Cornell, but I did find the RIT issue and that should be fixed. Thank you!

Could you try the Cornell thing again when you get a chance? It could be that one was just a calc fluke.
 
The sheet is updated with the results so far so input should be quicker. The "prefill higher teams" still functions as well.

It looks like NU is locked into top 3 if they win Hockey East, and will be #2 if Wisconsin also beats OSU.
 
TonyTheTiger20 said:
The sheet is updated with the results so far so input should be quicker. The "prefill higher teams" still functions as well.

It looks like NU is locked into top 3 if they win Hockey East, and will be #2 if Wisconsin also beats OSU.
Click to expand...

Is anyone betting on that happening?
 
As bad as Clarkson has been the last month, they still get in as the 10th seed as long as:

1) Northeastern wins Hockey East
2) The NEWHA Champ does not qualify.
3) Minn State does not win WCHA
4) SLU or Prinny does not win the ECAC

As the 10th seed Clarkson would play the 7th seed in the Nat Tourney. Could be Quinny again, Colgate, Minn Duluth or even Wisconsin according to some of the scenarios I have tried.
 
Looks like if UW wins the WCHA they can control their own destiny to be the 4 seed, if not, 5, 6 or 7. If Yale makes the ezac finals, UW is locked out of the top 4 if they beat OSU and lose to UM. If they lose to UM and Q wins the ezac, then they can still be the 4.

So Yale needs to get dumped before the ezac finals and Q has to run the table and UW has to beat OSU if UW loses to MN in the WCHA finals to get a 4 seed.

So where do the 6-11, 7-10, 8-9 games occur?
 
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Timothy A said:
So where do the 6-11, 7-10, 8-9 games occur?
Click to expand...
They actually didn't put any guidance on this in the pre-champs manual, weirdly. You would think it would be 1v8/9, 2v7/10, 3v6/11, 4v5, but they could also try to avoid intraconference matchups in that round or (oh boy) reduce flights. But, it was not put in there.
 
TonyTheTiger20 said:
They actually didn't put any guidance on this in the pre-champs manual, weirdly. You would think it would be 1v8/9, 2v7/10, 3v6/11, 4v5, but they could also try to avoid intraconference matchups in that round or (oh boy) reduce flights. But, it was not put in there.
Click to expand...
Hard to avoid intraconference matchups when almost half the bracket is ECAC.

Ever since Wisconsin started looking wobbly, I've been convinced that Minnesota is destined to host a quarter of the bracket that includes Wisconsin and UMD. So the "new" NCAA Tournament will look a lot like the "old" NCAA Tournament, with just more of it.

The committee will be quite bummed that they can't give Northeastern any retread matchups. Great strategy by the Huskies. Sort of like occupying Australia in a game of Risk and people forget that you're there. Maybe UVM/UConn will knock them off in the HEA final so the committee can put them in a bracket with two teams ranked outside the Top 10 at this point; although, somebody likely takes Clarkson's spot at this point. A bracket with Syracuse and UVM/UConn sounds perfect, so NU can show up at the FF and we still don't know anything about them.
 
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