Re: The 2019-20 Schedules Thread
So I did a little more analysis on the HEA situation, and I think I have to re-neg on the Close/High/Middle/Low setup. Here's what it was for the previous two years, when you consider total points minus any games involving Notre Dame:
<pre>
Rank Team Opponents (By Rank) 15-16 16-17 Total
1 Mass Lowell 2 5 6 9 25 37 62
2 Boston Coll 1 3 8 10 33 27 60
3 Providence 2 4 7 11 31 26 57
4 Boston Univ 3 7 8 10 26 27 53
5 Northeastern 1 6 7 9 23 20 43
6 Vermont 1 5 8 9 15 23 38
7 Merrimack 3 4 5 11 17 20 37
8 Connecticut 2 4 6 11 16 18 34
9 New Hampshire 1 5 6 10 14 17 31
10 Maine 2 4 9 11 12 12 24
11 Mass Amherst 3 7 8 10 8 3 11
</pre>
There's an obvious pattern going on here, and I'll try to detail it:
Draw all teams by lot for 1-3, and again for 9-11. There's one 3 and one 9 left, which are drawn from the respective pools of the teams who were drawn to play 1 and 11. Then draw 4 and 8; looks like it's coming from the respective first-time 2-3 and 9-10 drawn pools,I don't have enough info yet to tell if you could see 1,4 or 8,11. The rest of 5-7 look to just go by lot based on who's left.
This would have to be why BU and UMASS got such a relatively easy schedule, yet UNH, UCONN, and Merrimack were relatively difficult.
EDIT: There is another hypothesis for the first two draws: In order to prevent teams playing themselves on the first draws, 2 is automatically given 1 and 3, while 10 is automatically given 9 and 11, and then they draw, which would mean you don't have the leftover 3 and 9 since they're already allocated. However, I don't yet have enough information for this; hopefully this year will bring more.
