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The 2018 midterm elections!

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Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

According to the Star Tribune in the Franken Seat race Tina Smith (D) is up by 7 over Karin Housely. I saw an ad for Housely the other day...having her husband Phil might help her with the people already voting for her (she is doing well with 50+) but she is getting smoked by the youth vote, most of whom have never heard of her husband. They do care that she is a full on Moonbat though.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

Whoever's in charge of recruiting for the Dems has done a solid job. Bredesen is the only candidate who could have made that a race (although it helps he's running against a certified loon). Beto O'Rourke forcing Goopers to spend $$$ defending Calgary Ted, Simena in AZ and Rosen in NV are good gets as well. They're not favored to take over by any means but if we head into election night with 8 toss up races, 4 for the Dems and 4 for the GOP I'll take it. Its far better than things were looking even a couple of months ago.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

Rover said:
Whoever's in charge of recruiting for the Dems has done a solid job. Bredesen is the only candidate who could have made that a race (although it helps he's running against a certified loon). Beto O'Rourke forcing Goopers to spend $$$ defending Calgary Ted, Simena in AZ and Rosen in NV are good gets as well. They're not favored to take over by any means but if we head into election night with 8 toss up races, 4 for the Dems and 4 for the GOP I'll take it. Its far better than things were looking even a couple of months ago.
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Yeah they definitely found the right people. Add in all the young candidates running around the country (and women) and this has been a very fun lead up to the midterms.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

This one is for Rover:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-cards="hidden" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">WATCH: Florida governor booed out of restaurant by protesters <a href="https://t.co/NrrkxcLqkd">https://t.co/NrrkxcLqkd</a> <a href="https://t.co/wtOKmPhCCW">pic.twitter.com/wtOKmPhCCW</a></p>— The Hill (@thehill) <a href="https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1042115049173790720?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 18, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

Rover said:
Whoever's in charge of recruiting for the Dems has done a solid job. Bredesen is the only candidate who could have made that a race (although it helps he's running against a certified loon). Beto O'Rourke forcing Goopers to spend $$$ defending Calgary Ted, Simena in AZ and Rosen in NV are good gets as well. They're not favored to take over by any means but if we head into election night with 8 toss up races, 4 for the Dems and 4 for the GOP I'll take it. Its far better than things were looking even a couple of months ago.
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The number one differentiator between Ds and Rs right now is education. IMO that will mean that in spite of exuberance from twenty somethings for very left (some would say socialist) candidates...that the overall smart D base is making sure moderates are making it through to elections. Much of that is electability. This in contrast to the R party which has been moving right following the lead of the right wing media.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

FadeToBlack&Gold said:
Don't forget, Heidi Cruz is a vegetarian. :D
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Which makes it all the more funnier last week when he said Beto was trying to bring tofu to Texas. Of course, given that he had the guy who called his wife ugly coming to campaign for him, he clearly gave up on caring about her a long time ago. Family values party yall!
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

French Rage said:
Which makes it all the more funnier last week when he said Beto was trying to bring tofu to Texas. Of course, given that he had the guy who called his wife ugly coming to campaign for him, he clearly gave up on caring about her a long time ago. Family values party yall!
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Well family values dont matter much when your dad kills Kennedy ;)
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

5mn_Major said:
The number one differentiator between Ds and Rs right now is education. IMO that will mean that in spite of exuberance from twenty somethings for very left (some would say socialist) candidates...that the overall smart D base is making sure moderates are making it through to elections. Much of that is electability. This in contrast to the R party which has been moving right following the lead of the right wing media.
Click to expand...
Much of that is having vastly more $$$$$$$$ given to them from the party too. That said I'm fine with just about anyone beating Ted Cruz.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

French Rage said:
Which makes it all the more funnier last week when he said Beto was trying to bring tofu to Texas. Of course, given that he had the guy who called his wife ugly coming to campaign for him, he clearly gave up on caring about her a long time ago. Family values party yall!
Click to expand...

Beto probably laughed and ate a triple Whataburger for lunch that day.

I suspect Heidi is in on the kowtowing to Red Don for the sake of the Cruzes' bottom lines, and agreed to be thrown under the bus.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

Another spate of polls:

http://crystalball.centerforpolitic...polls-tight-senate-races-across-the-sun-belt/

Arizona Senate: Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%, Martha McSally (R) 44%

Arizona Governor: Doug Ducey (R) 51%, David Garcia (D) 39%

California Senate: Dianne Feinstein (D) 44%, Kevin de León (D) 24%

California Governor: Gavin Newsom (D) 52%, John Cox (R) 40%

Florida Senate: Rick Scott (R) 46%, Bill Nelson (D) 45%

Florida Governor: Andrew Gillum (D) 50%, Ron DeSantis (R) 44%

Nevada Senate: Dean Heller (R) 46%, Jacky Rosen (D) 43%

Nevada Governor: Adam Laxalt (R) 43%, Steve Sisolak (D) 40%

Texas Senate: Beto O’Rourke (D) 47%, Ted Cruz (R) 45%

Texas Governor: Greg Abbott (R) 50%, Lupe Valdez (D) 41%

President Donald Trump’s approval rating among likely voters in each state is mixed at best, although perhaps unsurprisingly given how Democratic the state is, Trump’s approval is only very sharply negative in California:

Arizona: 45% approve-53% disapprove

California: 36%-63%

Florida: 47%-53%

Nevada: 49%-49%

Texas: 47%-53%


My thoughts: I'd be somewhat surprised if even Dean Heller himself thinks he's winning that race. Trump having a better approval rating in Nevada than Texas also gives me pause. However on the flip side O'Rourke in the lead and the Dem gov candidate in Texas only down 9%? Doesn't feel right.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

Rover said:
Another spate of polls:

http://crystalball.centerforpolitic...polls-tight-senate-races-across-the-sun-belt/

Arizona Senate: Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%, Martha McSally (R) 44%

Arizona Governor: Doug Ducey (R) 51%, David Garcia (D) 39%

California Senate: Dianne Feinstein (D) 44%, Kevin de León (D) 24%

California Governor: Gavin Newsom (D) 52%, John Cox (R) 40%

Florida Senate: Rick Scott (R) 46%, Bill Nelson (D) 45%

Florida Governor: Andrew Gillum (D) 50%, Ron DeSantis (R) 44%

Nevada Senate: Dean Heller (R) 46%, Jacky Rosen (D) 43%

Nevada Governor: Adam Laxalt (R) 43%, Steve Sisolak (D) 40%

Texas Senate: Beto O’Rourke (D) 47%, Ted Cruz (R) 45%

Texas Governor: Greg Abbott (R) 50%, Lupe Valdez (D) 41%

President Donald Trump’s approval rating among likely voters in each state is mixed at best, although perhaps unsurprisingly given how Democratic the state is, Trump’s approval is only very sharply negative in California:

Arizona: 45% approve-53% disapprove

California: 36%-63%

Florida: 47%-53%

Nevada: 49%-49%

Texas: 47%-53%


My thoughts: I'd be somewhat surprised if even Dean Heller himself thinks he's winning that race. Trump having a better approval rating in Nevada than Texas also gives me pause. However on the flip side O'Rourke in the lead and the Dem gov candidate in Texas only down 9%? Doesn't feel right.
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I'm taking that poll showing O'Rourke leading with a grain of salt. Just yesterday a Quinnipiac poll gave Cruz a 9 point lead.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

Neither poll is believable. Quinnipiac is heavily weight conservative.
 
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