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The 2018 midterm elections!

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Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

dxmnkd316 said:
Just more evidence she’s wholly unqualified for office
Click to expand...

I think the "Michigan hockey fans" rule applies to Cynthia Nixon. Back in 1998 the national championship was in Boston, Michigan vs BC. Went to a victory party with Mich fans after the game and a few of them were telling us "Geesh, these BC fans are bunch of fuking a ssholes!". I immediately thought, if even Michigan fans who pride themselves on being a-holes can't stand to be around you, your fans have some serious problems! :D Likewise, as an admitted know it all jerk, watching Nixon campaign I thought, "man, she's kinda an annoying high and mighty jerk". She even made Cuomo like a model of decorum during their one debate. If I think somebody is too much of a jerk, that's a problem. Its like Kep saying somebody is too loony left, mookie claiming somebody watches too much Asian porn, or the late great DavidB claiming that the nachos and cheese at the hockey arena don't meet up to his standards for food consumption. :eek: :D
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

I read the tweet...not only should it not be a big deal but he is absolutely correct. If Heitkamp loses because of that it is on the nimrods in Sugar Beet Country.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

Dem control of the House is likely. Dem control of the Senate is quite unlikely...until recently.

Dems appear to need two additional senators beyond those that appear likely. They need to keep the following states that lean Dem:

AZ Simena
NV Rosen
MO McCaskill

Take the toss ups:

ND Heitcamp
FL Nelson

And take one of the following lean GOP:

TX ORourke (which seems like a long shot)
TN Bredesen

Most have seen positive polls over the last few days (McCaskill being the exception)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

5mn_Major said:
Dem control of the House is likely. Dem control of the Senate is quite unlikely...until recently.

Dems appear to need two additional senators beyond those that appear likely. They need to keep the following states that lean Dem:

AZ Simena
NV Rosen
MO McCaskill

Take the toss ups:

ND Heitcamp
FL Nelson

And take one of the following lean GOP:

TX ORourke (which seems like a long shot)
TN Bredesen

Most have seen positive polls over the last few days (McCaskill being the exception)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/
Click to expand...

The recent developments of 1) Trump's ever sinking popularity for anybody not already in his cult, and 2) Kavanaugh turning into a liability almost overnight for the GOP vs an asset are certainly making the picture brighter. I think of it like this: going into election season there were 10 seats in Chump won states vs 1 Clinton won seat up for re-election. As of today 4 of those states (WI, MI, OH, PA) are not on even the GOP's radar for potential flips. Furthermore, people like Manchin and Tester are moving into the Leans D category.

That leaves IN, ND, MO, and FL. Personally I'm not as worried about Florida as pundidiotry is, although I'd feel a lot better if Scooby declared Gov. Scott to be a lock! ;) The medicare crook has had the airwaves to himself for months, and he's still tied in the polls with someone who just started going up on air. Furthermore Scott has never been that popular, barely winning his two races in very good GOP years. Put another way, if Florida flips, then a lot of other states are going to before that one and the GOP will be increasing their Senate majority.

I'm heartened that IN, MO, and ND are still even races because one would have thought at this point the challengers would have put a couple of those away already. Especially since those challengers are fairly generic R's and not Todd Akin types. However the Dems are either going to have to sweep all 3 of these races as well as NV and AZ, or trade ND for TN. If Ted Cruz goes down, then its the opposite situation of the FL race. Dems win in Texas and they're already having a very, very good night long before that race gets called.
 
Re: The 2018 midterm elections!

Not that polls mean anything, but in the latest it looks like the Dems are leading in Zona and TN. I suspect they hold TN (Bredesen is well liked) but I will believe Zona when I see it. Either way every GOPer is going to be sweating til election night which is crazy in its own right.
 
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