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The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

  • Thread starter Thread starter Priceless
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Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

I was messing with RPI formulas trying to attach them to baseball. Is it normal for the RPI to be greater than 1 when you get in to 100s of games (e.g., 18.1239)?
 
Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

I was messing with RPI formulas trying to attach them to baseball. Is it normal for the RPI to be greater than 1 when you get in to 100s of games (e.g., 18.1239)?

uhh... hmm... probably not... I'd want to see what the bonus point stuff is doing.
 
Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

I was messing with RPI formulas trying to attach them to baseball. Is it normal for the RPI to be greater than 1 when you get in to 100s of games (e.g., 18.1239)?

Is it possible that with the large number of games that you are using, you are having problems due to loss of precision in the calculations?
 
Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

Is it possible that with the large number of games that you are using, you are having problems due to loss of precision in the calculations?

not with modern computers... its either an error in his program or an inherent issue in the formula. RPI isn't iterative enough to get floating point issues.
 
Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

Is it possible, at all, that today's B1G games would eliminate all 80 situations in which St. Cloud would be left out?

Nope. SCSU's highly unlikely missing scenario is dependent on two things: ranked teams SCSU defeated in the regular season doing horribly this weekend, and conference tournaments going to teams that wouldn't get auto bids. None of today's teams fall into the former, and today's games will only decide which of the Big Ten teams have an opportunity to play spoiler in that one conference tournament for the latter.

Tomorrow's games could do it, though, when SCSU only needs a decent performance out of Union, Minnesota State, North Dakota, Colgate, and Western Michigan.
 
Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

My expected Sunday bracketology

Code:
[B]Bridgeport (Yale)	Worcester (Holy Cross)	Cincinnati (Miami)	St Paul (Minnesota)[/B]
Union			Boston College		Ferris State		Minnesota
Providence		Lowell			Quinnipiac		Wisconsin
North Dakota		St Cloud		Michigan		Notre Dame
Mankato			Colgate			Vermont			Mercyhurst
 
Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

My expected Sunday bracketology

Code:
[B]Bridgeport (Yale)	Worcester (Holy Cross)	Cincinnati (Miami)	St Paul (Minnesota)[/B]
Union			Boston College		Ferris State		Minnesota
Providence		Lowell			Quinnipiac		Wisconsin
North Dakota		St Cloud		Michigan		Notre Dame
Mankato			Colgate			Vermont			Mercyhurst

This looks fantastic !!!!! How is it that you can come with sensible brackets, following the rules, and USCHO can only come up with crap. These are nicely balanced regions, Nice Job !!!
 
Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

This looks fantastic !!!!! How is it that you can come with sensible brackets, following the rules, and USCHO can only come up with crap. These are nicely balanced regions, Nice Job !!!

uscho goes based on now, not predicted results
 
Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

well nearly a quarter isn't very good for them either should they lose
 
Can you tell me your reasoning for why St. Cloud may or may not be in St. Paul? I'd love to attend if they get placed there.

In my scenario (which is already shot) St Cloud is #10 and paired with #7 Lowell in the #2 bracket. The easiest way for the Huskies to be in St Paul would be to finish #9 overall and be placed vs #8 in the #1 bracket.

A serpentine bracket will be
1-8-9-16
2-7-10-15
3-6-11-14
4-5-12-13

We know that the 1 seed will be in St Paul, the 2 seed in Worcester, the 3 seed in Bridgeport and the 4 seed in Cincinnati. Root accordingly.
 
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Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

Jim Dahl could help us here a little, but it seems to me like this: Michigan still survives if any one of five things happens, but not 2 of them (there are some exceptions to this, but it's a general guide).
Cornell winning at least one game
Colgate winning at least one game
New Hampshire winning the HEA title
North Dakota not winning the NCHC title and still winning one game
Mankato winning one game, and Anchorage winning the WCHA (BG defeating Mankato drops Mankato below Michigan)
 
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Re: The 2014 Pairwise, Bracketology and History Thread`

With Michigan's loss to Penn State, Notre Dame now moves up in the Pairwise for a tie for 6th with Quinnipiac and Lowell.
 
This looks fantastic !!!!! How is it that you can come with sensible brackets, following the rules, and USCHO can only come up with crap. These are nicely balanced regions, Nice Job !!!

How does QU get stuck in Cincinnati with a 2 seed
 
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