I wonder, what were Harvard's odds against SLU?
We control our own destiny, so lets just go out there an do what we did this weekend. Play good solid hockey for sixty minutes a game.
It's an unlikely scenario, and one that no RPI fan wants to see happen, but it is theoretically possible that there could be a four-way tie for fifth through eighth place in the ECAC.
It could happen if RPI loses twice, Colgate wins twice, Dartmouth ties Union (and beats RPI), and Yale beats Princeton and ties Quinnipiac (or ties Princeton and beats Quinnipiac).
Anyone familiar with the ECAC's procedures for sorting out four-way ties?
Harcard vs SLU as quoted to me on Friday -84% to 10% for a Harvard win and the predicted score was a 4-1 Harvard victory. Rarely do you ever see a 3 goal favorite and an 84% chance of victory. Well, just goes to show anything can happen especially in the north country.
It's similar to the procedure with lower-order ties. You start with head-to-head points between the teams, and if any team is separated from the pack, you take them out and start over with the smaller tie. So for the situation you mention, RPI would have 6 points, Colgate would have 5, Dartmouth would have 5, and Yale would have 8. As such, Yale would be seeded 5th, RPI would get 6th, and then you break the Colgate-Dartmouth tie as normal (Colgate 7th, Dartmouth 8th by virtue of winning the H2H 3-1).
Thanks for that Doc.
Now we all know why we play the games.
Congrats, you guys are playing your best in years ! GL going forward.
I am concerned that Dartmouth will be fired up for the game vs. RPI because of the result of our first meeting and simultaneously that result will have RPI over confident. The coaches have done a good job seeing that hasn't happened recently, but ...
OTOH, Harvard is so unpredictable that just about anything could happen.
Both opponents have something to play for so neither is likely to take this as just another game to end the regular season with. At least we have shown that we do not match up terribly against either of them (or at least we did not at home). The Harvard game final score did not due us justice as we were in that game for much of it (until a power play goal against us I believe) and we certainly managed to create a lot of shots on goal. The Dartmouth game we caught a bit of fire and once we got ahead seemed to just have the wind at our backs. Road games can be very different and expectations for me are similar to what you mention. The Harvard game is key. They can be anything from unbeatable to a cake walk. Personally I think they really want the bye and will play that way. The Dartmouth game may well depend on what happens Friday against Union. Not so much if Union can win the game (as they should have against QU this past Saturday) but just how much they take out of DC in a game. Say what we will about Union (and we usually do) they are a very big physical team and if they play that way on Friday, Dartmouth might be licking some wounds for Saturday. Just my 2¢
Harvard has something to play for, but that doesn't mean that they will. Look at their Beanpot performance as just one example. They have the talent to be first in the ECAC, but that isn't what happened. It rarely is.
Weekend in Review: RPI/Union
https://www.bobcatshockeyblog.com/2020/02/weekend-in-review-rpiunion.html