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RPI 2013-2014 Season

Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Yeah, watching her this weekend really opened my eyes, so I started to look more closely at her record. I think that if she wasn't playing for a cellar-dwelling team fans would be a lot more familiar with her name.

Moore is the most valuable player to her team in the ECAC this season. Without her Brown wouldn't have a point. They are really not very good.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Can some posters correct their quotations. Quotes being attributed to the wrong posters in the two most recent postings.
 
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Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

I love the fact that you have playoff races in women's NCAA, unlike the wimpy men's game where if you have a pulse at the end of the regular season you get to play post-season. However, once in a while I would like to see the Engineers enter the last couple weeks without a do-or-die scenario. This year, however, its the same-old-same-old. Hard to imagine that we will advance if we don't beat Colgate on Friday, and even that may not be enough.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

I love the fact that you have playoff races in women's NCAA, unlike the wimpy men's game where if you have a pulse at the end of the regular season you get to play post-season. However, once in a while I would like to see the Engineers enter the last couple weeks without a do-or-die scenario. This year, however, its the same-old-same-old. Hard to imagine that we will advance if we don't beat Colgate on Friday, and even that may not be enough.

Odds are better this year than in recent years at this juncture. Right now 5 teams battling for four spots. A few years ago it was 5 teams battling for the last spot or two.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

We have put ourselves in a very bad spot. We'll be lucky to get a point with Cornell, Clarkson, and SLU coming up and Dartmouth gets to play at Brown/Yale next weekend. My simulations have us at 38.8% to make the playoffs at this point. Everything looked so bright after the Union weekend. It's not like we've played that bad. What the hell happened.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

We have put ourselves in a very bad spot. We'll be lucky to get a point with Cornell, Clarkson, and SLU coming up and Dartmouth gets to play at Brown/Yale next weekend. My simulations have us at 38.8% to make the playoffs at this point. Everything looked so bright after the Union weekend. It's not like we've played that bad. What the hell happened.

Did your simulations predict an 8 game winless streak :D? I am also totally astonished at the position the Engineers are in. I do think that the team will win at St. Lawrence next weekend, but that may not be enough. Dartmouth will beat Brown and then probably beat or tie Yale (because the Bulldogs have now clinched a playoff spot and will not be as desperate). And if we end up tied with Dartmouth in the standings they win the tie-break. The Engineers will have to play their best hockey of the year next weekend.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Did your simulations predict an 8 game winless streak :D? I am also totally astonished at the position the Engineers are in. I do think that the team will win at St. Lawrence next weekend, but that may not be enough. Dartmouth will beat Brown and then probably beat or tie Yale (because the Bulldogs have now clinched a playoff spot and will not be as desperate). And if we end up tied with Dartmouth in the standings they win the tie-break. The Engineers will have to play their best hockey of the year next weekend.

Based on what I heard, we played a hell of a game today. I dunno if Cornell was just off or if it was that Senior Night magic or what, but we gave them a hell of a scare. Too bad we couldn't scrape at least a point out of it.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Fun fact: Your computer doesn't know that "ot" and "OT" are the same thing. Ignore every other simulation I've given you. It was wrong. I'm truly sorry about that. In any case, that little bug is fixed, and here we are going into the do-or-die-or-pray-Dartmouth-doesn't-do weekend:

Mean Point Total: 15.01
Range - 8th-10th
Mean Rank - 8.71
Median Rank - 9th
Mode Rank - 9th
Playoffs - 39.5%
Most likely opponent - @Cornell (21.3%)

I should clarify, the most likely opponent thing is out of all simulations, not just the ones we make the playoffs.

EDIT: I realize I could do this exhaustively at this point instead of randomly, but whatever.
 
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Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

You should go Ralph. I find that those opportunities to see RPI players, men or women, before they enroll, just adds to the interest that fans like us have in the game. I was able to watch Matt Tinordi a couple times when he played for Olds, Allen York when he played for Camrose, and of course Jordan Alford, and not coincidently they became my favourite players for RPI ;). It has been a long time since RPI women's team has successfully recruited from Western Canada (Kendra Dunlop, from Granum Alberta was recruited for the '07-'08 season) so I haven't seen a women's recruit for ages.

I went this morning. It was the first chance I had to go because of other commitments. I saw Little Caesars (Renn and Orzechowski) lose to the Toronto Jr. Aeros 4-1 and short parts of three other games. Renn scored LC's only goal which of course I missed because my eyes were turned to watch the US Olympics team against Slovenia on a monitor. :o Renn played defense almost entirely although she was listed as a forward. She appeared much more comfortable the few times she played forward. LC must have been short on D although one player who is listed as a D/F played forward. Orzechowski is a better defenseman. The Aeros seemed to have a significant height advantage.

Three teams, all from western Canada, were listed on the original schedule but didn't show up (Warner Hockey, Athol Murray of Notre Dame, and the Okanagan Hockey Academy). I might go again tomorrow if I figure out the playoff schedule and either NAHA or LC is playing.
 
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Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

I went this morning. It was the first chance I had to go because of other commitments. I saw Little Caesars (Renn and Orzechowski) lose to the Toronto Jr. Aeros 4-1 and short parts of three other games. Renn scored LC's only goal which of course I missed because my eyes were turned to watch the US Olympics team against Slovenia on a monitor. :o Renn played defense almost entirely although she was listed as a forward. She appeared much more comfortable the few times she played forward. LC must have been short on D although one player who is listed as a D/F played forward. Orzechowski is a better defenseman. The Aeros seemed to have a significant height advantage.

Three teams, all from western Canada, were listed on the original schedule but didn't show up (Warner Hockey, Athol Murray of Notre Dame, and the Okanagan Hockey Academy). I might go again tomorrow if I figure out the playoff schedule and either NAHA or LC is playing.

Based on the strength of this year's Freshman forwards Ralph, maybe you should do the recruiting.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Based on the strength of this year's Freshman forwards Ralph, maybe you should do the recruiting.

I think that there is talent there. Like the men's team, RPI is not getting the true blue chip players, but there is talent. I suspect that getting players interested in a technical education is even harder for the women's team than for the men's.

I will probably go to Ballston again today. LC is playing a consolation round game at 7:50 AM and NAHA is playing in the championship game at 10:20. http://www.jwhl.org/schedule/day/league_instance/16803/2014/2/17?subseason=143884&referrer=1077426
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

I think that there is talent there. Like the men's team, RPI is not getting the true blue chip players, but there is talent. I suspect that getting players interested in a technical education is even harder for the women's team than for the men's.

I will probably go to Ballston again today. LC is playing a consolation round game at 7:50 AM and NAHA is playing in the championship game at 10:20. http://www.jwhl.org/schedule/day/league_instance/16803/2014/2/17?subseason=143884&referrer=1077426

Well that was pretty much a waste of time. Renn played D again. She isn't bad, but hopefully she is better at forward. Orzechowski did not dress. I won't mention the reason that I overheard a couple of parents discussing. I only watched the first two periods of NAHA's game for the championship against the Whitby Wolves. Although I might have missed something I only saw Raspa take one shift. NAHA had 12 forwards listed (I didn't check if all were dressed) and essentially skated two lines. There have some impressive talent on those lines and on D. I also didn't stick around of LC's last game for the group B Championship (essentially 9th place).


Edit: I just did some research as to why Annie Pankowski was playing for NAHA as a 2013 graduate when she obviously was twice as good as anyone else in the tourney. There is always an obvious explanation. :D (I had never heard of her.)
 
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Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Just a month ago, RPI had a conference record of 6-5-1, seemed to have the playoffs well in hand and some prospect of gaining one of the top 4 spots. Incredibly, having gone 0-8-1 since then, their playoff hopes on the last day of the season come down to this: they need to beat St. Lawrence, Dartmouth needs to lose to Yale, and Colgate needs to either lose or tie against Quinnipiac. If I am allowed to still think positively after the last few weeks, only the first of those three would be an upset, and that is in their hands.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Do or die in ten minutes.

Mean Point Total: 14.72
Range - 8th-10th
Mean Rank - 9.46
Median Rank - 10th
Mode Rank - 10th
Playoffs - 15.3%
Most likely opponent - @Clarkson (13.3%)
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Strong effort by the Engineers today to try to extend their season, but they come up just short, dropping a 3-2 decision to SLU.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

Just a few thoughts on the incredible 10 game winless streak that pushed the Engineers out of the playoffs. But first, let me say thanks to a team that provided high quality, entertaining hockey all year long and never quit on each other. This team had enough talent and enough effort to have earned a very different fate. Sorry to see the seniors finish their RPI career on this note, especially Jordan Smelker, one of the best players the program has seen.

THE TEN GAME WINLESS STREAK WAS A SHOCKER. In two of those games the Engineers were blown away (Clarkson both times) but in the remaining 8 (7 losses, 1 tie) more often than not they dominated play only to come up short on the scoreboard. In those 8 games they were outshot only once and outshot their opponents on average, 35-25 (on average!). I watched most of those games (on video) and still can't figure it out, except to say that they typically controlled play on 80% of the ice surface...just not the 10% around each of the nets.
 
Re: RPI 2013-2014 Season

THE TEN GAME WINLESS STREAK WAS A SHOCKER

I looked at this. Using today's KRACH values and re-simulating the season from the Union weekend, we were only predicted to be out of the playoffs 15.3% of the time. We fell to 10th (or lower) in 748 of 100,000 simulations. Instead of the 1 of 20 points we pulled in the last 10 games, we were expected to get about 5. But alas, here we are, on the outside looking in.
 
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