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NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Other than the game in Ari the first 4 don't look that daunting.
Sun, Sep 11 @ Cardinals
Sun, Sep 18 vs Dolphins
Thu, Sep 22 vs Texans
Sun, Oct 2 vs Bills
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

@jerrythornton1: Brady's suspension reinstated and no draft pick Thursday. Next Goodell invokes Writ of Prima Noctae and starts bedding all our wives
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Don't worry, "Mr. Pen and a Phone" will take care of this travesty to the American People, they deserve much, MUCH better than this!
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Kim Jong-un is so jealous of the dictatorial powers Roger Goodell has over the NFL.
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Apparently brady restructured his contract so he only loses 200,000 sitting four games.
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Apparently brady restructured his contract so he only loses 200,000 sitting four games.

He cheated in the playoffs, right? Just void those playoff wins. Seahawks win the Super Bowl. I see no issue with this. ;)
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

The Pats are going to take GLA down to one of the local theater company's make-up artists, have a beard and wig glued onto him and have him play as a 5th round drafted Wunderkind who's been assigned the number 12.5. Then after four games, the Wunderkind 12.5 will have some physical complaint that turns out be to be a career-ending broken leg, and GLA steps in looking as though he's not missed a beat all season.

Wait no, the Pats would never break the NFL's rules. They have no history of that!
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Other than the game in Ari the first 4 don't look that daunting.
Sun, Sep 11 @ Cardinals
Sun, Sep 18 vs Dolphins
Thu, Sep 22 vs Texans
Sun, Oct 2 vs Bills

The book at Bovada in Las Vegas has put the over/under for Patriots wins in the first 4 weeks at 1.5

Free money...just wish I lived closer to LV and could wager....
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

The book at Bovada in Las Vegas has put the over/under for Patriots wins in the first 4 weeks at 1.5

Free money...just wish I lived closer to LV and could wager....
Bovada is an online gambling company. Living in Las Vegas gets you no "closer" to it. Just go to Delaware for legal sports betting.
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Bovada is an online gambling company. Living in Las Vegas gets you no "closer" to it. Just go to Delaware for legal sports betting.

I don't gamble so it isn't something I'd be familiar with anyway. But thanks for your input.
 
I don't gamble so it isn't something I'd be familiar with anyway. But thanks for your input.

Then what's the point of a post that does nothing aside from referencing a betting line while concurrently lamenting your inability to be smart enough know the abundant elementary ways you could act on said line?

Pardon our confusion. Thanks for the non-input.
 
Then what's the point of a post that does nothing aside from referencing a betting line while concurrently lamenting your inability to be smart enough know the abundant elementary ways you could act on said line?

Pardon our confusion. Thanks for the non-input.

Because I find it fascinating that the so-called experts think the Patriots will go 1-3 or 0-4 against that weak schedule without Tom Brady.

My sincere apologies for seeing "Bovada LV" and not immediately thinking "the LV must be Latvia not Las Vegas." I'm sure the people who run the site chose Latvia because of its long history with gambling, internet technology and security and not so that most Americans would mistake it for Las Vegas.
 
Re: NFL 2015-16: Super Bowl and offseason

Because I find it fascinating that the so-called experts think the Patriots will go 1-3 or 0-4 against that weak schedule without Tom Brady.

My sincere apologies for seeing "Bovada LV" and not immediately thinking "the LV must be Latvia not Las Vegas." I'm sure the people who run the site chose Latvia because of its long history with gambling, internet technology and security and not so that most Americans would mistake it for Las Vegas.
Here's the thing, and I'm not trying to be snarky here. I believe you when you say you don't gamble, because of your comment regarding the "free money" and this gambling line that you think is so off-base.

What you saw was what is referred to as a "moneyline prop bet."

Apparently Bovada set the "line" for Patriots wins in the first four games at 1.5, according to what you saw. However, the more important aspect of the bet, and the part that you didn't report, is what the payoff number is. At 1.5 wins, that bet probably pays something like -160 or -170, if I had to guess. What that means is that if you bet the "over" (the Patriots win more than 1.5 games) which you think is clearly the way to go, the bet pays very poorly. You have to wager $160 or $170 to win $100.

In other words, you bet $100 that the Pats win more than 1.5 games, you're going to get paid something like $58 if you are right, but they keep your $100 if you are wrong. It's a suckers bet, I would guess, recognizing that I don't know what the actual moneyline number is for that prop.


Edit: If I had to guess, I'd guess that the number of wins really anticipated by the Bovada computers, and probably Las Vegas if they spread this prop, is about 2. You have to remember that Las Vegas and the online sports books hate a "pushed" bet. If they set the line at 2, some will bet the over, some will bet the under, but there is a high probability that the bets get pushed because the Pats win 2, and everyone gets their money back. Just my hunch.

Also, with respect to Bovada, it's actually a fairly well-respected online site that is known for fairly and quickly providing payouts to its customers, unlike a great many sites. Like other online sites it has to be located in Latvia or Costa Rica or some other locale with loose restrictions on online gambling because of the stone-age thinking of U.S. officials.
 
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