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They aren't getting dumber; their computer forecast models aren't performing as well as they were a couple months ago. Both the Presidents' Day storm and the monster in December were predicted well in advance thanks to those models. Unfortunately, since the (sort-of) transition to spring, the storm prediction has turned to ****.
I'm sure he's well stocked with Maker's...OMG!!! Are you ok? I hope you have lots of provisions man because seriously IT IS OVER!!!!
OMG!!! Are you ok? I hope you have lots of provisions man because seriously IT IS OVER!!!!
I have a real vehicle. 2 feet of snow doesn't stop me.OMG!!! Are you ok? I hope you have lots of provisions man because seriously IT IS OVER!!!!
Supposed to hit that today. Unfortunately, it's probably going to rain quite a bit over the next couple days. Things will improve Sunday (possibly 60!), but more rain is in the offing for Monday-Tuesday. Ugh.could get to 50 this weekend!!!!1
It hailed last night!
I am just happy it is sunny outside today.
We should have expected a horrible spring given how good last year's was (no snow after March 1st, very little rain in the March-May period, and unusually warm weather throughout).
Last spring was the best one I've ever seen in MN, and I've been here my entire life. Simply put, we shouldn't expect another one like that for a long long time.
We were done planting corn at this time a year ago, which is so early, it was scary. We're still probably a week away from starting this year, if the rainy forecast holds true.
Last spring was the best one I've ever seen in MN, and I've been here my entire life. Simply put, we shouldn't expect another one like that for a long long time.
As for an expected improvement in weather: well, it's a wet pattern, so the only real improvement will be that it will get a bit warmer. We're still days or perhaps weeks away from a prolonged stretch of being able to go outside and enjoy it for more than a day or two at a time.
They're a lot older and have families. I don't belong in that group, you **** stain.We shouldn't expect one for a long time..sounds like you should be paired with goldy and grey..
Predicting snowfall amounts is extremely difficult. Even when they are right in predicting the arrival of a major storm in the area, they can still be wrong on the amount of snow that falls in a given area due to the often sharp cut-off in moisture over a relatively short distance. In the case of the December storm, while Minneapolis was crippled with nearly a foot and a half, just 70 miles to the NW, St. Cloud was barely impacted.
On a 24 hour basis, weather forecasting is actually quite accurate. And his forecast snowfall total for the metro wasn't that bad for the last storm (a bit high, predicting 2-5"). The airport got just under 2", and Plymouth got 3". 1-2" was a fairly common total throughout the twin cities.
I don't get my weather info from the local TV stations, so I'm not paying any attention to their claims of the arrival of a level 5 kill storm. My two sources are Douglas' blog (which is quite good w/ regard to explaining the details of what it is they are looking at to come up with their forecasts) and the forecast discussions available on the NWS site. The best way to describe these sources relative to TV is that the local stations are a bit like Fox News / MSNBC while what I'm looking at is more along the lines of PBS/CSPAN. It's essentially the same forecast you're getting from the rest of the media, but it's without the hysteria and with more of an explanation / data analysis.
I think part of it is a growing sensitivity to the problem of not predicting something and then having the metro area blindsided, thus producing a surprise impact on rush hour and p*ssing a lot of people off. If everyone is expecting something, and it doesn't happen, we might roll our eyes and post angry profane rants on message boards about idiotic meteorologists trying to rile us up for ratings. However, if we aren't expecting anything, and we're suddenly stuck in traffic on the commute from hell because of a massive deluge flooding out 494, then we're really p*ssed off because nobody warned us.
