Re: "I won the FF Lottery" 2012 Edition
In hindsight, the venues selected from 2005-2012 seem almost calculated to reduce demand downward, to more closely match the number of available seats. That isn't strictly true, of course. Milwaukee is a tournament hotbed, and demand there in 2006 was fairly solid. And who could have predicted that the Minnesota Gophers would be mired in a multi-season downturn when the 2011 FF was scheduled, thus dampening demand for that tournament? Nevertheless, if the NCAA has made a conscious decision to try to curb speculative purchases of Frozen Four ducats, they've done a decent job of it.
Another factor that can't be stressed enough is that Tampa requires air travel for most Frozen Four fans. In a normal year, a majority of Frozen Four fans have driven to the event. Some commute. Others drive hundreds of miles. Even those who attend annually tend to drive if at all possible. The last time air travel was required for a large percentage of the crowd was Anaheim, back in 1999. Did we party like it was 1999? Not exactly. Thousands of seats went unfilled. In fairness to SoCal based fans, the crowd did improve for the Championship game. But regardless of how you characterize it, we seem to be headed toward similar results in Tampa.
That's a pretty good list.I think that three factors are at work:
1.) The disaster at FF, where the cheap discounted seats were much better than the riser seats and undercut the resale market for those who paid full price up front for tickets
2.) I think that they have found (or exceeded) the cap of ticket prices that they can charge to ensure that the lottery gets all the public tickets get sold. If you cant sell out in a traditional market like St. Paul, what chance do non-traditional markets have? Ideally, the tickets would be priced so that the number of lottery entries equals the number of seats available.
3.) the overall decline in the economy has caused people to re-evaluate if purchasing tickets 6+ months before an event is a good idea. Particularly since tickets are almost always available on the secondary market around face value.
In hindsight, the venues selected from 2005-2012 seem almost calculated to reduce demand downward, to more closely match the number of available seats. That isn't strictly true, of course. Milwaukee is a tournament hotbed, and demand there in 2006 was fairly solid. And who could have predicted that the Minnesota Gophers would be mired in a multi-season downturn when the 2011 FF was scheduled, thus dampening demand for that tournament? Nevertheless, if the NCAA has made a conscious decision to try to curb speculative purchases of Frozen Four ducats, they've done a decent job of it.
Another factor that can't be stressed enough is that Tampa requires air travel for most Frozen Four fans. In a normal year, a majority of Frozen Four fans have driven to the event. Some commute. Others drive hundreds of miles. Even those who attend annually tend to drive if at all possible. The last time air travel was required for a large percentage of the crowd was Anaheim, back in 1999. Did we party like it was 1999? Not exactly. Thousands of seats went unfilled. In fairness to SoCal based fans, the crowd did improve for the Championship game. But regardless of how you characterize it, we seem to be headed toward similar results in Tampa.