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Grand Unified Election Thread 2: What is the difference between Biden and Dump?

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Jimjamesak said:
But we're talking about 100k+ deficits, about 2 points in both races. Is it really going to be enough? Especially for Ossoff.
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Well, if DeKalb stays 80/20, that would be a 120k vote swing, which would completely erase Perdue's lead. If the rest of the 100-150k splits even 60/40, Ossoff wins by 25-30k votes (and there is at least some realistic basis to think that it will split even more in favor of Ossoff...at least based on what I'm hearing).
 
Kepler said:
Srsly? Huh. I thought being so far north would really drive you guys around the horizon and you'd wind up past Hawaii. Like the way the old USSR was 11 timezones or something even though it's only about as wide as the US.
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The Aleutian Islands are the same time as Hawaii.
 
Fighting Sioux 23 said:
I think if Canada had scored shorthanded, we would be tied going into the third.

My guess is if the USA is going to win this one, they will need either: (a) score the next goal; or (b) shutout Canada. I just have a feeling that if Canada gets the next one, they will explode. I hope I'm wrong though. : - )
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While I like both a) and b), my preference would be “all of the above.”
 
Jimjamesak said:
But we're talking about 100k+ deficits, about 2 points in both races. Is it really going to be enough? Especially for Ossoff.
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Well here is an example. There are 170,000 outstanding in DeKalb. They are expected to break at least 80/20 Dem. So that is a swing of .6 x 170k = 102k for the Dem.

That gives Warnock the win. It puts Ossoff very, very close. So then, where are the non-DeKalb outstanding votes? The only other large county under 98% is Henry (83% for 83k), which is D+20.
 
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I still don't trust the NY Times...but if DeKalb is where most of the votes are that is a very good sign. Biden won with 83% in DeKalb.
 
Kepler said:
Well here is an example. There are 170,000 outstanding in DeKalb. They are expected to break at least 80/20 Dem. So that is a swing of .6 x 170k = 102k for the Dem.

That gives Warnock the win. It puts Ossoff very, very close. So then, where are the non-DeKalb outstanding votes? The only other large county under 98% is Henry (83% for 83k), which is D+20 = about 16k for Dems. That makes Ossoff almost exactly 50/50.
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Henry went 60/40 for Biden just an FYI.
 
DeKalb just dumped an enormous tranche. The 80/20 held. Perdue/Ossoff now exactly 50/50. Warnock is now ahead by almost a full point.
 
Fighting Sioux 23 said:
That's insane. I remember one weekend at the Ralph where the 50/50 got close to six figures, and I thought that was crazy. FWIW, the last 50/50 that I played at DU wound up at about $3,500. : - )
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I saw one at the Great Alaska Shootout hit six figures.

Alaska Hockey tells the story of going to a game for the old NAHL team in Palmer in their last season and spending $20 on 50/50. He won and got $25 back.

In Fairbanks they gave out cash, one UAA fan won and had to be escorted out with $10k in cash.
 
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