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Grand Unified Election Thread 2: What is the difference between Biden and Dump?

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I prefer dumps. Tranche sounds like someone watched Big Short last night.

What I thought of.

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Also worth noting the same day lines that are still in queue are almost always going to be in Dem areas

I'm not sure this is true anymore now that in-person is basically a MAGAdeath march.

We are used to urban areas deliberately screwed over by GOP state officials having insufficient infrastructure as part of Jim Crow 2. No doubt there's still a lot of that. Stacey laughed when they praised Raffensperger and noted the times he has pushed through vote suppression for the Nazis. All he did was the very bare minimum to maintain a democracy.

But the lines I was seeing were in lily white GOP burbs who are terrified of BLM and Antifa, so that worm may have turned.
 
Big counties remaining:

Warnock (NYT 83% probability of win)

Cobb D+26 vs 12, 49% reporting
DeKalb D+67 vs 66, 37%

Ossoff (NYT 70% probability of win)

Cobb D+25 vs 11, 49% reporting
DeKalb D+66 vs 64, 37%

Now it's possible the trailing votes will be more R than the current breakdown because of the mail-in vs in-person discrepancy.

I hope the needles are taking that into consideration.
 
He roots against the US in international competitions. So edgy!

My brother-in-law is the same way. He says he likes to root for the "underdog," yet cheers for Brazil in soccer (to be fair, my father-in-law is from Brazil), Canada in hockey, but will cheer for the USA in basketball. It's absurd. And annoying.
 
He roots against the US in international competitions. So edgy!

Not always. I always root for the US in soccer.

Mostly I root for the underdog so tonight I have no issue with the US, though they and Canada are basically a push in terms of bullying the small fry.

In hockey I mostly root for Cornellians. Of which this year there were none on the final rosters. So... whatever.
 
Big counties remaining:

Warnock (NYT 83% probability of win)

Cobb D+26 vs 12, 49% reporting
DeKalb D+67 vs 66, 37%

Ossoff (NYT 70% probability of win)

Cobb D+25 vs 11, 49% reporting
DeKalb D+66 vs 64, 37%

Now it's possible the trailing votes will be more R than the current breakdown because of the mail-in vs in-person discrepancy.

I hope the needles are taking that into consideration.

The biggest thing about the needle is that it just had this race two months ago, according to Cohn
 
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