OnMAA
Vort Doen.....Heija Heija Heija
Re: ECAC Playoff 2012 thread
Cool, so I was not far off with my top of the head numbers earlier on. Not surprised to see that by the numbers SLU is favored over Dartmouth.
According to KRACH, these are the probabilities of each lower seed winning: (no home-ice adjustment)
Brown 1%
Princeton 13%
Quinnipiac 30%
SLU 52%
These are the probabilities of each team being the lowest seed advancing to the quarterfinals:
Brown 1%
Princeton 13%
Quinnipiac 26%
SLU 31%
Dartmouth 29%
The probability of each team being the lowest seed, conditional on some road team winning:
Brown 1%
Harvard 19%
Quinnipiac 36%
SLU 44%
The Princeton vote share is actually fairly reasonable. The Brown-Cornell number is the only one totally out of whack.
Cool, so I was not far off with my top of the head numbers earlier on. Not surprised to see that by the numbers SLU is favored over Dartmouth.