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Cornell at Harvard, Friday 7 p.m.

Re: Cornell at Harvard, Friday 7 p.m.

dave1381 said:
I think you sell Cornell a bit short. Certainly they're an underdog, but they'll come in the Frozen Four much more battle-tested than Mercyhurst has been over the past month.

I'd give Cornell and better chance of beating Mercyhurst than any of the 4-5 seeds against the No. 1 seed, except for probably Brown over Minnesota in 2002 and Minnesota over UNH in 2006 (and I'm not just saying that because those were the teams that actually won). The No. 1 seed has lost in the semis in every Olympic year.

Here's some more encouraging stats: Cornell has just laid 10 goals on two of the best defensive teams in the country, Harvard and Clarkson (sure, neither is what they were earlier this season, but still).

Here is how Mercyhurst has done against the top offensive teams it has played, aside from your season-opening series: (I go by WCHODR rankings)
No. 3 UMD: 2 goals, 4 goals
No. 12 St. Cloud: 4 goals
No. 13 Clarkson: 3 goals, 5 goals
No. 14 Colgate: 3 goals, 2 goals

The WCHODR model expects a 3-2 Mercyhurst win. I expect that could be a fun higher-scoring game than that. Cornell clearly knows how to finish. Mercyhurst hasn't faced a team with the kind of weapons Cornell has since mid-January.
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Cool, thanks for the info. I don't actually know anything about Mercyhurst except the scores from the first two games of the season, but I think Cornell really turned the corner in January and if that series was played today things would be a bit different.

That said, I was thinking as much about the other half of the bracket. I don't see Cornell pulling out two wins against the competition they're likely to face in the FF, not with 3 healthy forward lines. I'd love to see them prove me wrong, and I believe this team can play with anybody in the nation right now, but a national title is still a long shot.

Of course, I didn't think Cornell would even have a shot at the NCAAs this year until about the last week of the ECAC RS, so what do I know?
 
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