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climate change times are a changin'

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Re: climate change times are a changin'

"Remember that all models are wrong; the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful." -- George E. P. Box

How wrong do they have to be to not be useful? Did any of them predict the worldwide "flat decade"?

Sorry, leaving for a Brewer game but I think these two videos may help. Not sure if you have watched any of potholer 54s video but he is pretty decent to examine where claims come from. Sorry to punt, but some people are better at things than I am :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xvMmPtEt8dc&list=PL82yk73N8eoX-Xobr_TfHsWPfAIyI7VAP

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PWDFzWt-Ag&list=PL82yk73N8eoX-Xobr_TfHsWPfAIyI7VAP
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

What technology allows us to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and what do they do with it once removed?

Technology: Photosynthesis. Anything with chlorophyll does it (not just trees).

What do they do with it: Grow. Flower. Reproduce. Die. Rot.


Trees (all plants with chlorophyll) are just giant air filters. Someone want to come over later and mow my air filter and trim the branches on my air filters?
 
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Re: climate change times are a changin'

Trees.

Burn them.

Ok:) I already do that, heat with wood, own wood lot. I saw someone(FF) say it was cheap to remove already present Carbon Dioxide from the atmosphere and I was wondering how they did that? I've seen blurbs about storage but math eliminates that from what I saw at least at present production.
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

Ok:) I already do that, heat with wood, own wood lot. I saw someone(FF) say it was cheap to remove already present Carbon Dioxide from the atmosphere and I was wondering how they did that? I've seen blurbs about storage but math eliminates that from what I saw at least at present production.

A coal plant in Saskatchewan is getting subsidized to test a process to capture CO2 and send it to the Bakken to be injected down into wells. This, in turn, will boost production from the well.

However, as with anything ... the other side of the sword.
 
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Re: climate change times are a changin'

Ok:) I already do that, heat with wood, own wood lot. I saw someone(FF) say it was cheap to remove already present Carbon Dioxide from the atmosphere and I was wondering how they did that? I've seen blurbs about storage but math eliminates that from what I saw at least at present production.
I'm still wondering.

Per a professor from a fine institution in Central New York, an acre of mature trees can process 40,000 lbs of CO2 per year. Worldwide man-made CO2 emission totals 37.7B metric tons, or 83T pounds. So alls we need to do is plant 2.1 billion acres of trees. That's an area about 13% larger than India, so it doesn't sound particularly cheap or easy to me.
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

I saw someone(FF) say it was cheap to remove already present Carbon Dioxide from the atmosphere and I was wondering how they did that? I've seen blurbs about storage but math eliminates that from what I saw at least at present production.

Right. Trees, bushes, shrubs, flowers, grass, all plants remove CO[SUB]2[/SUB] from the atmosphere. That makes deforestation a huge problem in climate change modeling / prediction. People who own greenhouses actually pump CO[SUB]2[/SUB] into the atmosphere to promote better plant growth, and for much of prehistory, the earth was warmer than it is now, had higher levels of CO[SUB]2[/SUB] in the atmosphere than we do now, and had much more abundant plant growth than it does now.

If we want to remove CO[SUB]2[/SUB] from the atmosphere, we grow tremendous amounts of trees, and then build stuff with the wood so that the CO[SUB]2[/SUB] trapped in the wood stays out of the atmosphere.

This is actually quite feasible and realistic response. According to the Arbor Day Foundation (print brochure from membership when I joined many years ago), if each one of us planted 10 trees that grew to maturity, we would totally offset our CO[SUB]2[/SUB] deficit.
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

I'm still wondering.

Per a professor from a fine institution in Central New York, an acre of mature trees can process 40,000 lbs of CO2 per year. Worldwide man-made CO2 emission totals 37.7B metric tons, or 83T pounds. So alls we need to do is plant 2.1 billion acres of trees. That's an area about 13% larger than India, so it doesn't sound particularly cheap or easy to me.

But you can cut down the trees and keep planting new ones. The CO[SUB]2[/SUB] remains trapped in the ones already cut down. Also, that is not the only way to remove CO[SUB]2[/SUB] from the atmosphere. One also can trap it on the way out of smokestacks, etc. as well. Developing that kind of technology seems far more feasible to me than asking people to reduce their standards of living drastically.
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

But you can cut down the trees and keep planting new ones. The CO[SUB]2[/SUB] remains trapped in the ones already cut down. Also, that is not the only way to remove CO[SUB]2[/SUB] from the atmosphere. One also can trap it on the way out of smokestacks, etc. as well. Developing that kind of technology seems far more feasible to me than asking people to reduce their standards of living drastically.
Why would you cut down a mature tree which is capturing many pounds of carbon per year and replace it with a sapling that will store a few ounces? That makes no sense.

Edit: when I was at Sequoia National Park, I remember reading a plaque which said that the General Sherman tree adds essentially the equivalent of a mature oak tree to its bulk each year. Healthy, mature trees have the highest growth rates (in terms of mass per year), so that's what you want for your carbon sequestration forest. Obviously, get rid of any dead/dying trees or ones whose growth was being choked out by neighboring trees, etc, but cutting down perfectly healthy ones to replace them with younger trees would be completely counterproductive - you'd have to cover the whole world with saplings to get the same carbon capture effect that 2.1B acres of mature trees would provide.
 
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But you can cut down the trees and keep planting new ones. The CO[SUB]2[/SUB] remains trapped in the ones already cut down. Also, that is not the only way to remove CO[SUB]2[/SUB] from the atmosphere. One also can trap it on the way out of smokestacks, etc. as well. Developing that kind of technology seems far more feasible to me than asking people to reduce their standards of living drastically.

How would one encourage such technology? Perhaps by putting a cost to emitted CO2, thereby encouraging companies to reduce their CO2 output and/or plant trees? Just like we did SO2? Hmmm...
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

Maine is 95% or close to that forest already. Guess we ain't helping
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

How would one encourage such technology? Perhaps by putting a cost to emitted CO2, thereby encouraging companies to reduce their CO2 output and/or plant trees? Just like we did SO2? Hmmm...

how are we going to get india and china to buy into that is the bigger question?
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

A coal plant in Saskatchewan is getting subsidized to test a process to capture CO2 and send it to the Bakken to be injected down into wells. This, in turn, will boost production from the well.

However, as with anything ... the other side of the sword.
Again, math gets in the way when talking about putting CO2 into the earth at present production or at least from what I've heard or read. Maybe someone can refute that?. I think conservation is the cheapest way to curb CO2 production yet never see much about that in lame stream media
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

How would one encourage such technology? Perhaps by putting a cost to emitted CO2, thereby encouraging companies to reduce their CO2 output and/or plant trees? Just like we did SO2? Hmmm...

That would work great in theory. The problem is in the practical details. The government shouldn't get any of that money; we just cannot trust them with it. Look at how the tobacco settlement has been used for all sorts of things other than smoking-related illnesses, for example, or how the social security "trust fund" has been raided to finance the federal deficit.

Especially with the current administration, which has repeatedly failed to keep its word or to follow the laws as enacted. any kind of program that you describe is off the table at least until 2017. That's a natural consequence when you say one thing and then do another, people stop trusting you.
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

Why would you cut down a mature tree which is capturing many pounds of carbon per year and replace it with a sapling that will store a few ounces? That makes no sense.

Edit: when I was at Sequoia National Park, I remember reading a plaque which said that the General Sherman tree adds essentially the equivalent of a mature oak tree to its bulk each year. Healthy, mature trees have the highest growth rates (in terms of mass per year), so that's what you want for your carbon sequestration forest. Obviously, get rid of any dead/dying trees or ones whose growth was being choked out by neighboring trees, etc, but cutting down perfectly healthy ones to replace them with younger trees would be completely counterproductive - you'd have to cover the whole world with saplings to get the same carbon capture effect that 2.1B acres of mature trees would provide.

I think we are saying essentially the same thing in different words. Mature trees eventually die and are replaced.

We also are not limited only to trees. Any kind of plant growth will work just fine, though I'm not quite ready to cover the surface of the oceans with algae just yet. and ideally a combination of emissions reductions and atmospheric CO[SUB]2[/SUB] removal will work best.
 
Re: climate change times are a changin'

I think we are saying essentially the same thing in different words. Mature trees eventually die and are replaced.
Right, but the point is that you need 2.1B acres of mature trees at all times - you can't just re-use the same acre 2.1B times.

We also are not limited only to trees. Any kind of plant growth will work just fine, though I'm not quite ready to cover the surface of the oceans with algae just yet. and ideally a combination of emissions reductions and atmospheric CO[SUB]2[/SUB] removal will work best.
While we might not be limited to trees, my guess is that they are some of the best plants out there for CO2 removal in terms of mass per time per acre. Maybe I'm wrong and grass (or corn or wheat, etc) grows so quickly that its absorption rate per acre exceeds that of trees, but I doubt it. Conservation/reduction absolutely has to be part of the story.

Best way in the world to reduce carbon production: replace coal plants with nuclear ones. Hmmmm....maybe we'd better start planting those trees!
 
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