FadeToBlack&Gold
Microlot Marxist
Re: Climate Change 2: Thank God for Global Warming
I see some pretty economically important states more than 50% underwater.
I see some pretty economically important states more than 50% underwater.
The following states are F-cked with a capital F even if we just ban coal:
I’m guessing we divert as many resources to just producing food as we can..
how does it get anywhere? stay 'fresh'? cow's farts and poos, are worse than coalso have to kill all them. peeps will have to grow their own potatoes and carrots and eat them raw to be neutral
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I think we’d see the following;
Mass starvation mostly in the developing world within two years. No cheap energy = no fertilizer
Instant loss of all mass communication until we get cheap flip phones. iPhones become painfully expensive to use. Riots in the streets by day three. We’ve already tested this theory.
Scientific research is stymied. Particle physics and anything high energy probably goes into a coma for years, maybe a decade.
Space exploration completely dies. No way we produce that much energy without petroleum.
I think we’d see a shift in the economic centers to places like Amsterdam and other places that rely on green energy for their current way of life.
Personal automobile transportation is almost certainly dead for at least 10+ years. Too much of the grid would need to be used to just run every day life. I’m not sure how mass transport would fare. Maybe ok. I’m guessing we divert as many resources to just producing food as we can. Certainly in the immediate term.
I think humans never fully recover. It’s like the Great Recession economic activity and pressure drop across a valve. There’s a permanent loss. We might get back to the state we were in but I would think it would be 40-50 years. Maybe 100. But that’s decades of research and development that’s just lost. Entire areas of R&D and science just die. Imagine if the Solvay Conference was blown up on day 1. Would we have discovered quantum mechanics? Maybe. No way to know. But if we did eventually get there, it would have probably taken another 30-70 years.
I’d love to think about this on a clear head.
Two steps/one step theory. It would trigger a step back on the level of the fall of the Roman Empire. We'd all be living like North Koreans for several decades, at a minimum.
The following states are F-cked with a capital F even if we just ban coal:
West Virginia
Kentucky
Wyoming
These states are pretty seriously boned if we just banned coal:
Utah
Missouri
Ohio
Indiana
Tennessee
Wisconsin
North Dakota
Nebraska
If we toss in natural gas and petroleum:
Alaska
Arizona
Texas
Iowa
Arkansas
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Kansas
Alabama
Mississippi
Georgia
Florida
South Carolina
Colorado
North Carolina
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Hawaii
California
Nevada
New Mexico
Minnesota
Illinois
New York
Maryland
All of New England except Vermont
These states would limp by:
South Dakota
Montana
Idaho
These states would be mostly ok:
Oregon
Idaho
These states wouldn't sneeze:
Washington
Vermont
Based entirely on generation capacity. Not a perfect measure, but it works. I also created a Kepler's Proposal F-cked Factor by taking the green energy% minus the fossil fuel% and only six states were above 0%.
WA 58%
VT 54%
ID 48%
OR 40%
SD 17%
MT 5%
ND -14%
IA -20%
Maine -22%
CA -23%
DC -30%
KS -33%
NV -38%
NH -38%
MN -39%
OK -47%
NM -47%
CO -52%
NC -53%
NE -53%
NY -54%
AZ -55%
TN -56%
SC -57%
IL -58%
TX -59%
AL -60%
WY -62%
AK -63%
HI -64%
PA -67%
UT -67%
CT -68%
AR -70%
NJ -70%
MI -70%
GA -71%
MD -74%
VA -76%
MA -77%
WI -77%
MO -82%
IN -83%
WV -86%
LA -87%
OH -88%
MS -88%
FL -90%
KY -90%
RI -91%
Delaware -98%
Exactly the same as the tobacco industry.They knew early. & Their goal has been to sow doubt this entire time.
I’ve been looking for the consumption tables. They’re there, but I haven’t taken the time to get them.
I really need to though. Could be interesting.
Probably not in Southern MAine but in this area doesn't most of the gas fueling Veazie come from Sable Island. Sable is closed down. Not sure what that means to Veazie but Bucksport hasn't run in years.I'd be interested in seeing that data
this page has an area chart of generation per state (not consumption)
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...tricity-generation-changed-in-your-state.html
in the case of Maine it shows that in just the last couple years hydro, biomass, and wind overtook natural gas, but it hasn't added much generation capacity (other than wind), and it's not like state are isolated so it's also consuming power also generated through out new england and Canada
Maine has taken out dams for hydro and permitting is so hard they are left in disrepair. At one point Maine had a lot of their electrical generation due to hydro.