I don't see how he gets that. The fight is still on FL/OH/NC, which Trump needs to get within a few of 270, and without which Hillary is still over 270. Don't get me wrong, that doesn't mean you pack and go home assuming everything's won. Winning those states provides a nice buffer and makes more of a statement. And you don't also assume PA/VA/MI/WI are foregone conclusions (though PA and VA still look firm in the latest polls, and MI/WI are good but could be shored-up (?) even better). Yes we're used to FL/OH being the tipping points, so it sounds weird to say it's still a game without them, but the numbers show it is. A closer game than it arguably should be, but still.