Re: Campaign 2016 Part XII: What Have We Done To Deserve This?
Do you honestly believe that?
Do you really, seriously, honestly believe Donald J. Trump will be the root cause and instigate the next world war?
I can believe a lot of negative things about Trump, but that is not one of them.
I think he could do some extremely bad things.
1. Bombast. Trump seems to honestly think he can swing the military around like a dong "as a negotiation." Let's see him try that with China over their artificial islands, or Turkey over Erdogan's slow motion coup d'etat, or even the Saudis over human rights. I don't see Trump destroying an alliance or pushing us into a war with a stated adversary like Russia or Iran, but I can easily imagine him screwing up diplomacy with those "middle neutrals" that we're frenemies with but who we need, and making the US a much less respected, and thus less influential, global actor.
2. Isolationism. To the extent that American involvement is good for peace (and there hasn't been a world war since the US took de facto control of the world 71 years ago, so there really has been a "Pax Americana"), Trump's promised retrenchment behind an
actual wall is bad news for world peace. I want to end the empire and bring the boys home, and stop using the DOD and the CIA as options of first resort, but I don't want us to curl up in an American ball and hug our nutsack.
3. Aggression. As a bully Trump seeks weak victims. As a bully president he might very well seek weak nations. This doesn't even have to be invasion -- it could be trade wars or cutting off ties or using economic weapons. There are always lots of little nations in the world who aren't causing trouble in and of themselves but have the gall not to believe the American World Order is the best way to run things. When those nations are sitting on resources we want, bad things happen. A US under Trump could be a nightmare for Central America or even the Gulf States.
All of these things together would make the world more dangerous. A dangerous world with so many powerful weapons, and in which everybody's economy except the DPRK hermit kingdom is inextricably linked, is an opportunity decidedly to be missed.
On every one of those things, Hillary would be by far preferable to any Republican, but in particular preferable to a guy who is, after all, a narcissistic dope.