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Boston College 2024-25 TV * JG * MG

Looks like all simulations point to PC/DU/OSU as the only teams that could grab the 8 and 9 seeds. So QU will likely not be in our bracket as they are locked into 12/13, which puts them in peril should North Dakota make it in.
 
The 16 teams are already determined even before tonight's 4 championship games. Michigan is out because of Quinnipiac losing and Quinnipiac stays in. There appear to be up to 5 things to be resolved. A UConn-UMass 6-11 matchup, who gets to play Providence in BC's region (will be Denver unless they lose, and Ohio State wins), who gets 4th/5th Western Michigan or Minnesota and who gets 12/13 Penn State or Quinnipiac. The 4/5 and 12/13 region could be messed up if Minnesota and Penn State align. If that is the case if Penn State is the 12 a possible switch is UMass and Penn State or if 13th switch Penn State with Minnesota State. As it stands BC gets the AHA winner and Michigan State gets the ECAC winner.
 
BC/HE said:
The 16 teams are already determined even before tonight's 4 championship games. Michigan is out because of Quinnipiac losing and Quinnipiac stays in. There appear to be up to 5 things to be resolved. A UConn-UMass 6-11 matchup, who gets to play Providence in BC's region (will be Denver unless they lose, and Ohio State wins), who gets 4th/5th Western Michigan or Minnesota and who gets 12/13 Penn State or Quinnipiac. The 4/5 and 12/13 region could be messed up if Minnesota and Penn State align. If that is the case if Penn State is the 12 a possible switch is UMass and Penn State or if 13th switch Penn State with Minnesota State. As it stands BC gets the AHA winner and Michigan State gets the ECAC winner.
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The more I think about it, the more I think OSU is most likely never going to be in Manchester since the committee can move them to Toledo for attendance and Denver will swap to Manchester under "flight is a flight."

I don't think anyone ever wants to play Denver in the tournament but there is some intriguing potential for another BC Revenge Tour similar to 2001 with DU and MSU possibly in the line of fire. So I say bring it.
 
Bentley played Lowell, UMass and UNH to 1 goal losses. They lost to Northeastern by 2 on a last 2-minute goal. They also beat Maine up in Orono. BC has to be prepared.
 
BC/HE said:
Bentley played Lowell, UMass and UNH to 1 goal losses. They lost to Northeastern by 2 on a last 2-minute goal. They also beat Maine up in Orono. BC has to be prepared.
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Yikes. Any team that beat Maine is a legitimate threat. Interestingly, Bentley is now ahead of Northeastern in final pairwise ranking, so that comparison is meaningful. As we can all now see, Northeastern became a dangerous tournament team- that battled Maine in a 2 OT loss in HE semi-final. NCAA tournament is not about how well you played during regular season, it becomes-how well did you play today & did puck bounce your way.
Look at Western Michigan coming back from a 3-0 deficit to win in 2 OT-, beating a Denver team-that knows how to play defense in a tournament game. I read where WMU scored late tying goal on a deflected shot that broke thru glove of goaltender Davis. WMU outplayed Denver from looking at statistics, but fortune turned in their direction.
 
Seacaptim said:
Yikes. Any team that beat Maine is a legitimate threat. Interestingly, Bentley is now ahead of Northeastern in final pairwise ranking, so that comparison is meaningful. As we can all now see, Northeastern became a dangerous tournament team- that battled Maine in a 2 OT loss in HE semi-final. NCAA tournament is not about how well you played during regular season, it becomes-how well did you play today & did puck bounce your way.
Look at Western Michigan coming back from a 3-0 deficit to win in 2 OT-, beating a Denver team-that knows how to play defense in a tournament game. I read where WMU scored late tying goal on a deflected shot that broke thru glove of goaltender Davis. WMU outplayed Denver from looking at statistics, but fortune turned in their direction.
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Out of character for Denver to blow that three-goal lead.
 
Actually, Denver scored the opening goal in its 2-1 double-overtime win over UMass in the Springfield regional. It gave up the first goal in its three other NCAA games.
 
I bought my tickets couple weeks ago

Bentley @ 2 PM then

PC vs DU @ 5:30 PM

This team cannot look past this game after losing to NU
 
Man, what a friggin bracket we have this year. This has to be the deepest tournament I've ever seen (and no we're not expanding the tournament).

These 4 seeds are all scary. Bentley, as has been mentioned, is a terrible matchup for BC and their performance against Hockey East teams should be noted. Cornell was supposed to be a legit contender this year and seems to have finally figured some things out. Pedd State is no slouch and essentially playing at home. Mankato... I don't know what to make of.

This will be BC's 3rd appearance in SNHU Arena where BC is 4-0 in NCAA tournament play; having advanced in both 2004 (with the incredible goal from Ben Eaves in OT against Michigan) and 2007.

The keys to winning in the tournament are usually fairly straightforward aside from the obvious #1 rule of staying out of the box:
1. Win the Special Teams battle. Beginning with the York era in 1998's NCAA tournament, BC is 9.7% and 81.5% on the PP and PK in their losses with a -6 margin in special teams goals. 25.3% and 89.4% in their wins with a +36 in special teams goals. BC is 25-3 in the 28 games when they have won special teams - the losses strangely were consecutive FF losses from 1998-2000.

2. First to 3 goals usually wins. During that same timeframe, 43 of the 54 games BC has played in have been won by the team that got to 3 first. 8 times, that never happened and BC is 3-5 in those games, including last year's title game. And 3 times, the winning team did not get to 3 first, and BC is very lucky to have bucked this trend and won all 3 of those games (MSU in 2000, UML in 2014, Quinnipiac last year).

These games are never won on talent alone. Poise, intelligence, effort, and heart win these games. I'd like to see some swagger out of this group.

Last year this team exorcised some demons, having finally dealt with getting out of Providence for the first time. This year's team can do the same in regard to the St. Louis demons which has been a nightmare for BC and also break the Beanpot curse so we never have to hear that stupid crap again.
 
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Nick Papagiorgio said:
Man, what a friggin bracket we have this year. This has to be the deepest tournament I've ever seen (and no we're not expanding the tournament).

These 4 seeds are all scary. Bentley, as has been mentioned, is a terrible matchup for BC and their performance against Hockey East teams should be noted. Cornell was supposed to be a legit contender this year and seems to have finally figured some things out. Pedd State is no slouch and essentially playing at home. Mankato... I don't know what to make of.

This will be BC's 3rd appearance in SNHU Arena where BC is 4-0 in NCAA tournament play; having advanced in both 2004 (with the incredible goal from Ben Eaves in OT against Michigan) and 2007.

The keys to winning in the tournament are usually fairly straightforward aside from the obvious #1 rule of staying out of the box:
1. Win the Special Teams battle. Beginning with the York era in 1998's NCAA tournament, BC is 9.7% and 81.5% on the PP and PK in their losses with a -6 margin in special teams goals. 25.3% and 89.4% in their wins with a +36 in special teams goals. BC is 25-3 in the 28 games when they have won special teams - the losses strangely were consecutive FF losses from 1998-2000.

2. First to 3 goals usually wins. During that same timeframe, 43 of the 54 games BC has played in have been won by the team that got to 3 first. 8 times, that never happened and BC is 3-5 in those games, including last year's title game. And 3 times, the winning team did not get to 3 first, and BC is very lucky to have bucked this trend and won all 3 of those games (MSU in 2000, UML in 2014, Quinnipiac last year).

These games are never won on talent alone. Poise, intelligence, effort, and heart win these games. I'd like to see some swagger out of this group.

Last year this team exorcised some demons, having finally dealt with getting out of Providence for the first time. This year's team can do the same in regard to the St. Louis demons which has been a nightmare for BC and also break the Beanpot curse so we never have to hear that stupid crap again.
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Minnesota State's goalie is a Hobey top 10, the only goalie on the list. He is the only goalie with a better GAA than Fowler and his save percentage is .945 compared to Fowler's .940 which is third. If he got the nod over Fowler, he must be very special. 7 of the Hobey top 10 are in the tournament. 4 of the top 8 in save% goaltenders are from Hockey East schools in the tournament as well.
 
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