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BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Point is, on the whole there's a small but measurable difference in length of power play compared to conversion percentage, but it's not really large enough to make any meaningful change in the data.
I agree, especially with the part I bolded.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

IMO the best case scenario is Notre Dame men join the NCHC (no one in Hockey East wants them here and Notre Dame feels like an outsider) and Hockey East replaces them with Quinnipiac. Problem solved.

Hmmm...that would mean one less catholic school in Hockey East to beat up on the BC men's team. ;) I like having Notre Dame in Hockey East - no need to swap them out from my point of view.

Hmmm...could it be because Qpac is practically in Grant's backyard so he'd get to see his men's and women's Eagles play in Hamden every year? :)

I'd rather see Holy Cross step up their women's program and have both the men's and women's teams join Hockey East. I've given up on hoping UMass would bump up to D1 from club level.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Ha yes.
I'm not really sure which direction Hockey East should go to get back to even teams but I suppose they could do worse than Syracuse. I would rather it be a team that wasn't as far away though.

I would take Yale and Dartmouth. Would be interested to see how they stack up against HE's mid-tier teams. I know it won't happen of course. I kind of like the mystique of Harvard being in a different conference though.

I'm aching for hockey season so I started playing with some stats.

Specifically, I was interested in BC's power play, which was God-awful last year. How God-awful? Well... that's what I seeked to find out.

The end result is that BC's power play last year was pretty ****ing terrible. They were the 3rd worst team in the country, better than only St. Lawrence and RIT, at improving their scoring rate on the power play.

You would think that maybe with BC already scoring a lot of goals that it would be hard for them to improve their scoring rate much... except Minnesota was 2nd in the country and Harvard was in the top ten.

The numbers show that in a 60 minute game played entirely at even strength, BC would score about 5.10 goals per game. In a 60 minute game played entirely on the power play, BC would score just one additional goal. That is incredibly bad. One additional goal if they played an entire game on the power play.

It got even worse in the 2nd half. In the 2nd half, BC was 25th in PP%, which on its own is pretty embarrassing. But after January 1st, BC scored 4.43 goals per 60 even strength minutes, and just 4.52 goals per 60 power play minutes. In the second half, BC scored at effectively the same rate on the power play as it did even strength, good for, again, third worst in the country behind SLU and RIT.

That was great analysis, Grant. Somehow we're unstoppable when defenders are in disarray but completely confused if the opponents' defence gets even a bit organized. The Minnesota example shows it doesn't have to be that way.

You can always argue that Minnesota faces tougher opposition so having them on the PK benefits Minnesota more than a PP against a weak team benefits us... but there's a huge difference between Minnesota and Wisconsin, who faced similar opposition, and a huge difference between us and BU. So I think the conclusion is pretty watertight: that... needs to be fixed.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

That was great analysis, Grant. Somehow we're unstoppable when defenders are in disarray but completely confused if the opponents' defence gets even a bit organized. The Minnesota example shows it doesn't have to be that way.

That reminds me of a couple of editions of the Gopher men's team from six or eight years ago, who routinely would dominate play for several minutes with great scoring chances until the other team finally had to commit a penalty, at which point the Gophers spent two minutes unable to get the puck into the offensive zone until the penalty expired, at which point they would go back to dominating play.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

That reminds me of a couple of editions of the Gopher men's team from six or eight years ago, who routinely would dominate play for several minutes with great scoring chances until the other team finally had to commit a penalty, at which point the Gophers spent two minutes unable to get the puck into the offensive zone until the penalty expired, at which point they would go back to dominating play.
It's just baffling. It shouldn't be that hard to figure out how to play with fewer opponents defending you.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

5-1 win at Walter Brown against a Guelph Gryphons team (great name, great kit) who got stronger as the game went on. Carp obviously the standout but significant steps up by Trivigno and Capizzano I thought: Capizzano had a great play where she was tripped going for a breakaway on the PK, regained control without hitting the ice, made it all the way to the net and had two shots on goal before Carpenter got it in on the rebound. Trivigno was making plays all over the ice; she's not a possession player the way Skarupa is but she is great at finding moves that change the momentum of the play. Grieves got to play on a line with Skarupa and Anastos, a big step up from being on the fourth line last year, but she really earned the extra ice time. Will be interesting to see how that line works out if it stays together: Anastos is not as fast as Grieves and Skarupa but fantastic at possession, so it seems likely that we'll see a lot of Skarupa/Grieves or Anastos/Skarupa plays but not necessarily a lot of plays with the whole line.

Bizal is very good on D, Newkirk and Slowe the most impressive frosh on F. The PP was significantly improved from last year, much more dynamic; we didn't score on any of the PPs but did a much better job of keeping the other team off-balance.

We lost a lot of firepower in Field and Leary (and Doherty as backup). I don't think we've replaced it fully. Newkirk and Slowe will probably score more than Doherty but it's not clear they'll score as much as Field or Leary. But I think our D has taken a step up even given the loss of Pfalzer. A run of slightly closer games than we had last year will probably do the team good come the tougher games of the second half of the season. Fingers crossed.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

5-1 win at Walter Brown against a Guelph Gryphons team (great name, great kit) who got stronger as the game went on. Carp obviously the standout but significant steps up by Trivigno and Capizzano I thought: Capizzano had a great play where she was tripped going for a breakaway on the PK, regained control without hitting the ice, made it all the way to the net and had two shots on goal before Carpenter got it in on the rebound. Trivigno was making plays all over the ice; she's not a possession player the way Skarupa is but she is great at finding moves that change the momentum of the play. Grieves got to play on a line with Skarupa and Anastos, a big step up from being on the fourth line last year, but she really earned the extra ice time. Will be interesting to see how that line works out if it stays together: Anastos is not as fast as Grieves and Skarupa but fantastic at possession, so it seems likely that we'll see a lot of Skarupa/Grieves or Anastos/Skarupa plays but not necessarily a lot of plays with the whole line.

Bizal is very good on D, Newkirk and Slowe the most impressive frosh on F. The PP was significantly improved from last year, much more dynamic; we didn't score on any of the PPs but did a much better job of keeping the other team off-balance.

We lost a lot of firepower in Field and Leary (and Doherty as backup). I don't think we've replaced it fully. Newkirk and Slowe will probably score more than Doherty but it's not clear they'll score as much as Field or Leary. But I think our D has taken a step up even given the loss of Pfalzer. A run of slightly closer games than we had last year will probably do the team good come the tougher games of the second half of the season. Fingers crossed.

Thanks for the recap...Look forward to watching BC at times this year online.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Thunston was easily the best player on a loaded Whitecaps roster that included the Lams, Bona, Sarah Erickson, etc in their game against the Gophers last night.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Thunston was easily the best player on a loaded Whitecaps roster that included the Lams, Bona, Sarah Erickson, etc in their game against the Gophers last night.
Didn't see that coming... who would have thought she's still got it after being away from hockey for a while.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Thunston was easily the best player on a loaded Whitecaps roster that included the Lams, Bona, Sarah Erickson, etc in their game against the Gophers last night.

Thunston?! Really?! It's Allie Thunstrom. How can anyone get that wrong?!
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Didn't see that coming... who would have thought she's still got it after being away from hockey for a while.
She has the burst and seemed to be in better shape than many of her teammates. And like most BC forwards, she doesn't waste energy defending. ;)
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

She has the burst and seemed to be in better shape than many of her teammates. And like most BC forwards, she doesn't waste energy defending. ;)

you people are aware she's been speedskating since "retiring", right?
good enough to make the US Olympic trials
she's probably faster now than at BC
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

She has the burst and seemed to be in better shape than many of her teammates. And like most BC forwards, she doesn't waste energy defending. ;)
But she sure can fly when she gets the puck on her stick. Still, I would never trade Pannek's or Brandt's playmaking skills for her straight-ahead speed. Of course one could say that about just anybody.

Also, was it just me or was anyone else surprised - in a very good way - with the blistering wrist shot that Schipper banged off metal and in against Raty? That was something to see, and off a breakaway no less (after a beautiful long pass by Pannek, right on the tape to send her in all alone). But on Schipper's other breakaway that followed, Noora came up huge when Schipper put a very nice move on her. Two of the many very exciting moments in the game.
 
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you people are aware she's been speedskating since "retiring", right?
good enough to make the US Olympic trials
she's probably faster now than at BC
Definitely, but I'm a pretty quick skater yet halfway to useless with a stick in my hand lol (not that she is, just that skating is only part of the battle and I doubt she was working on a shot much training for the Olympics)

Allie Thunstrom was a beast here but I don't think I've ever seen anyone miss so many breakaway chances. She's the only person I've ever seen injure herself on a penalty shot.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Definitely, but I'm a pretty quick skater yet halfway to useless with a stick in my hand lol (not that she is, just that skating is only part of the battle and I doubt she was working on a shot much training for the Olympics)

Allie Thunstrom was a beast here but I don't think I've ever seen anyone miss so many breakaway chances. She's the only person I've ever seen injure herself on a penalty shot.


I don't doubt that you are faster than all the little kids and their parents at the rink
but when I use the term fast, I mean faster than everybody else
she looked like she had a gear everybody else was lacking
and scored a goal and had 2 assists the next night
so maybe not the best player on the ice, but the top scorer anyway

when you have that kind of speed, it creates its own opportunity
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

I found this interesting...

"We have some very creative players so maybe by us giving them a little bit less structure it will improve."

See, I thought when I had the chance to watch their power play last year that it was more individualistic and less "structured". In fact, how they play as a whole seems less "structured" in comparison to teams like Wisconsin and Minnesota.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

See, I thought when I had the chance to watch their power play last year that it was more individualistic and less "structured".
We didn't see it that way at all. Every time we seemed to get set up in the offensive zone on a power play we went straight to our positions around the perimeter and passed it back and forth at the point. It was maddening. They never moved, ever, and they were so far away from the slot that the defenders never even bothered to skate out and break up our passing because they knew we weren't going to do crap from that far away.

Oh man it was just the worst, I want to throw something just thinking about it. The stationary passing back and forth up high waiting for the D to move was just mind-numbingly stupid.
 
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