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BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

SOON! Just three weeks away from the exhibition -- 9/25 vs. University of Guelph (lol) at Walter Brown.

Unfortunately a week later the cupcake diet will be in full effect with 2 vs. Duluth. Still... Excited? Yes.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

SOON! Just three weeks away from the exhibition -- 9/25 vs. University of Guelph (lol) at Walter Brown.

Unfortunately a week later the cupcake diet will be in full effect with 2 vs. Duluth. Still... Excited? Yes.

Been kind of quiet from folks out East so looking forward to some hyperbole ramping up.

Who dat say they gonna beat dem Eagles?
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Is there a sense that this might be the year for BC to put it all together in light of what they lose after this year? They still have a dynamic duo (like Minnesota) which are a matchup nightmare plus a deep supporting cast of forwards. They have a goaltender that now has a year of D1 experience. They certainly lost a great player in Pfalzer to graduation on the blue line that will be difficult to replace but I think they bring in enough freshmen talent (Bizal in particular) to offset that.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Is there a sense that this might be the year for BC to put it all together in light of what they lose after this year? They still have a dynamic duo (like Minnesota) which are a matchup nightmare plus a deep supporting cast of forwards. They have a goaltender that now has a year of D1 experience. They certainly lost a great player in Pfalzer to graduation on the blue line that will be difficult to replace but I think they bring in enough freshmen talent (Bizal in particular) to offset that.
I think you're pretty much spot on. This doesn't so much "feel like the year" as "if it's ever going to happen this feels like it's going to have to be the year or it's not going to happen."

I have extremely high hopes for Burt. She was a 17 year old last year. 17. And yet, she was top 2 in just about every stat. Rumor has it she's been busting her *** all summer. I'm excited to see what she's got with a year of experience. Last year I was the only one who (correctly!) predicted Pfalzer would make the Kaz 10, this year I think Burt makes it. She's going to have insane numbers.

Losing Pfalzer sucks, a lot. But I think we have a pretty deep core of defensive defensemen which is going to somewhat change the way we play the game I think. Not that Bender/Keller aren't two way defensemen, but losing Pfalzer takes a bit of that aspect away. I'm a huge fan of Miano. Look for her to be our top defenseman this year.

The good thing about the future is there is a very, very good young core, just without the Carpenter/Skarupa "X" factor. They won't fall off the map like they did in 2010 but they're in for a definite drop losing those two. It's just unavoidable.

Would have really been nice to get Samoskevich in this class. Oh well.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Is there a sense that this might be the year for BC to put it all together in light of what they lose after this year?
That gets mitigated to an extent because so many top teams get hit hard by graduation after the coming season. Looking at what other contenders like Harvard, Minnesota, and Clarkson will lose, as well as the next tier of teams like Quinnipiac, BU, Mercyhurst, Bemidji State, North Dakota, and Northeastern, the Eagles won't be the only ones trying to fill big holes a year from now. Wisconsin figures to be most likely to benefit compared to the rest.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

SOON!
Unfortunately a week later the cupcake diet will be in full effect with 2 vs. Duluth. Still... Excited? Yes.

Slow news day, I'll bite. Da Dawgettes considered a cupcake!? Eastern bias, when you you people ever learn? ;)
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Last year I was the only one who (correctly!) predicted Pfalzer would make the Kaz 10, this year I think Burt makes it. She's going to have insane numbers.

good luck with that
if you make enough predictions, some are bound to be true

just ask atrologists ;)


FWIW, both All-Americans return, the WCHA is the best this year it has ever been between the pipes, goals are going to be at a premium this year
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

good luck with that
if you make enough predictions, some are bound to be true

just ask atrologists ;)


FWIW, both All-Americans return, the WCHA is the best this year it has ever been between the pipes, goals are going to be at a premium this year
DATE STAMPED!

I'm glad this is on page one so it'll be easy to find when the Kaz10 announcement comes out :D

I agree with ARM big time by the way -- Wisco's time to shine in 2016-2017 methinks.

Next Olympic year is... what, 2017-2018 right?
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Slow news day, I'll bite. Da Dawgettes considered a cupcake!? Eastern bias, when you you people ever learn? ;)
CUPCAKE I say! An additional team for the Gophers to fatten up on before the tournament. "The Merrimack Of The West"!
That prediction is probably incorrect.
Two cupcake filled teams gonna duke it out in the final. You heard it here first!
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

I'm glad this is on page one so it'll be easy to find when the Kaz10 announcement comes out :D
I agree that she'll improve over her first year, but insane numbers for a goalie on a team that dominates territorially often doesn't lead to Kaz recognition. The Kazmaier isn't really a goalie-friendly award. It doesn't penalize them as much as D, but it is close. In her first year as the starter, Leveille had numbers similar to what Räty posted the year before, but it is tough for a goaltender to make Kaz waves if the perception isn't that she's one of her team's top couple of players. If she's also an underclassman, that's another hurdle to clear. Maschmeyer is the most likely to make the top 10, although she'll be hurt by a rotation. Mowat and Amsley-Benzie also figure to have to share some starts. Of the underclassmen, Tiley is probably positioned the best in terms of the combination of her reputation and talent combined with her role and importance to her team's success. We saw last year when Burt was gone that BC could stick any rusty goalie between the pipes and still win. The goalie might looks shakey, but it doesn't matter because the offense will outscore almost everyone and will control the puck most of the time. Once Carpenter and Skarupa are gone and aren't taking two Kaz votes from every opposing coach, then Burt will have much better prospects then she will this year.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

We saw last year when Burt was gone that BC could stick any rusty goalie between the pipes and still win.
I mean, yeah, but that's true for most teams,* and let's all remember that the first three shots of the year against a goalie not named Katie Burt all ended up in the net lol**

*I get your point though.
**I am nonetheless a big Switaj fan
 
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Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

I agree that she'll improve over her first year, but insane numbers for a goalie on a team that dominates territorially often doesn't lead to Kaz recognition. The Kazmaier isn't really a goalie-friendly award. It doesn't penalize them as much as D, but it is close. In her first year as the starter, Leveille had numbers similar to what Räty posted the year before, but it is tough for a goaltender to make Kaz waves if the perception isn't that she's one of her team's top couple of players. If she's also an underclassman, that's another hurdle to clear. Maschmeyer is the most likely to make the top 10, although she'll be hurt by a rotation. Mowat and Amsley-Benzie also figure to have to share some starts. Of the underclassmen, Tiley is probably positioned the best in terms of the combination of her reputation and talent combined with her role and importance to her team's success. We saw last year when Burt was gone that BC could stick any rusty goalie between the pipes and still win. The goalie might looks shakey, but it doesn't matter because the offense will outscore almost everyone and will control the puck most of the time. Once Carpenter and Skarupa are gone and aren't taking two Kaz votes from every opposing coach, then Burt will have much better prospects then she will this year.
in addition to ARM's argument another reason is when you look at the statistics, the 3 goalies for BC, MN, & WI are statistically indistinguishable:
Leveille 1.18 GAA 94.6 S%
Burt 1.11 GAA 94.1 S%
Desbiens 1.15 GAA 94.1 S%

translated:
it would take 14 games for Leveille to give up an extra goal over Burt & 25 for Desbiens
but when looking at shots Burt & Desbiens will give up an extra goal every 20 shots

so just going by the numbers they split the vote ( how can you say one is statistically better than the other?)

Mowat, Ashley-Benzie, & to a lesser extent Maschmeyer, their teams scored less, so they needed them more to win
with A-B ultimately getting the PK nomination(her S% being significantly higher than the rest probably helped) and her & Mowat (beating the Gophers twice and tying them once likely helped) getting the AA award

all of those goalies return, plus there are other talented ones, the criteria isn't going to be any different this year
 
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Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Mowat, Ashley-Benzie, & to a lesser extent Maschmeyer, their teams scored less, so they needed them more to win
with A-B ultimately getting the PK nomination(her S% being significantly higher than the rest probably helped) and her & Mowat (beating the Gophers twice and tying them once likely helped)
I think a big help to A-B was that UND was "meh" for much of the season, then she started getting all the starts and the team became one of the hottest in the country. If a player can do something that visibly improves results, that is huge.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Is there a sense that this might be the year for BC to put it all together in light of what they lose after this year? They still have a dynamic duo (like Minnesota) which are a matchup nightmare plus a deep supporting cast of forwards. They have a goaltender that now has a year of D1 experience. They certainly lost a great player in Pfalzer to graduation on the blue line that will be difficult to replace but I think they bring in enough freshmen talent (Bizal in particular) to offset that.

... plus the Frozen Four is on the road for Minnesota this year.

BC have four things to address, I think.

1) Being a poor road team relative to their talent. The losses and ties last year were all away from Conte. The most surprising result of the season, that 2-2 draw to St Lawrence, was at Appleton. They were 19-0-0 at home and 15-3-2 away and neutral. It's not even like Conte is that nice! You'd think a flamboyant, crowdpleasing team like the Eagles would have thrived in an atmosphere like the Beanpot final at Bright or the FF at Ridder. But for some reason they find it easier to turn it on at home.

2) The power play, and in general the play against teams that clog the zone. The Eagles were at or near the top of every statistical category last year but fifteenth in power play %. And this wasn't some weird statistical artifact. Those of us who were at the games saw it happen. Grant tracked it. When the Eagles got to break away and be three-on-two they were unstoppable. On the occasions when there were four defenders near the crease they passed around the outside until all momentum was lost. The most egregious example of this was that five-minute major against Harvard in the Frozen Four, but it was there all year. The fact that we were first in the country in shorthanded goals just emphasizes this: SHGs are classically ones where you use your speed to create an opportunity and don't say anything about your ability to grind out a win. I worry that we'll spend too much of the year playing teams we can just outskate and then get taken by surprise by teams that can actually defend in the postseason.

3) Coming through the tough games. Yes, we came back from 2-0 down against BU last season, but in general we were taken by surprise by teams that stepped up. This is going to be even harder this year with Merrimack knocking out the games against Quinnipiac, Yale and Princeton, none of whom are national champions (sorry Bobcats) but none of whom are pushovers either. We run the risk of reaching the postseason having had almost nothing but cupcakes and with little or no experience of the tough matches. This is related to (2) obviously.

4) It's going to be very hard to beat Minnesota.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

... plus the Frozen Four is on the road for Minnesota this year.

BC have four things to address, I think.

1) Being a poor road team relative to their talent. The losses and ties last year were all away from Conte. The most surprising result of the season, that 2-2 draw to St Lawrence, was at Appleton. They were 19-0-0 at home and 15-3-2 away and neutral. It's not even like Conte is that nice! You'd think a flamboyant, crowdpleasing team like the Eagles would have thrived in an atmosphere like the Beanpot final at Bright or the FF at Ridder. But for some reason they find it easier to turn it on at home.

2) The power play, and in general the play against teams that clog the zone. The Eagles were at or near the top of every statistical category last year but fifteenth in power play %. And this wasn't some weird statistical artifact. Those of us who were at the games saw it happen. Grant tracked it. When the Eagles got to break away and be three-on-two they were unstoppable. On the occasions when there were four defenders near the crease they passed around the outside until all momentum was lost. The most egregious example of this was that five-minute major against Harvard in the Frozen Four, but it was there all year. The fact that we were first in the country in shorthanded goals just emphasizes this: SHGs are classically ones where you use your speed to create an opportunity and don't say anything about your ability to grind out a win. I worry that we'll spend too much of the year playing teams we can just outskate and then get taken by surprise by teams that can actually defend in the postseason.

3) Coming through the tough games. Yes, we came back from 2-0 down against BU last season, but in general we were taken by surprise by teams that stepped up. This is going to be even harder this year with Merrimack knocking out the games against Quinnipiac, Yale and Princeton, none of whom are national champions (sorry Bobcats) but none of whom are pushovers either. We run the risk of reaching the postseason having had almost nothing but cupcakes and with little or no experience of the tough matches. This is related to (2) obviously.

4) It's going to be very hard to beat Minnesota.

I think you can't overstate the value at tournament time of a team being battle-hardened by tough games. IMO, it is not a coincidence that the WCHA produces the champion year after year (nice game, Clarkson!), since those teams are tested week after week. Harvard struggled in the FF with Minn taking away their time and space, as this is one thing you can't prepare for in any other way than to see it over and over again. Those trips to Bemidji aren't fun, but they are valuable.
 
Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Playing against the eventual first team All-American goalie 5 times certainly helped, as did playing 4 games against the PK nominee and second team All-American goalie.

But I would have liked to have seen BC or Harvard handle WI the way they were flying in the first period at the FF, or handle their forecheck. Playing them 5 times a year is good preparation for the championship game, ... if you make it there.

If anybody had questions about the ability of the Gopher D, or which blueliners deserved AA post season honors, they were answered during the WI/MN game.
 
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Re: BC Women's Hockey, 2015-2016: Embrace The Cupcake Diet

Playing against the eventual first team All-American goalie 5 times certainly helped, as did playing 4 games against the PK nominee and second team All-American goalie.

But I would have liked to have seen BC or Harvard handle WI the way they were flying in the first period at the FF, or handle their forecheck. Playing them 5 times a year is good preparation for the championship game, ... if you make it there.

All the smart people knew that game was for all the marbles and the game after was just the coronation party.
 
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