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2026 Elections: To the Midterms and Beyond!

Dems have broken Repub supermajorities in both Florida House and Senate

Abd Ted Cruz has suddenly had something come up and will be unable to attend Ken Paxton's watch party.

Plane to catch? I’ve heard Mexico is beautiful this time of the year.

Aw, Lynah beat me to it.
 
My half-sister in TN said the Democrat there has a chance in the Governor’s race. Tonight is insane.

NYT is predicting 252 house seats and 55 senate seats.

The polls actually undersold the Dems. Holy shit.

View attachment 3152

Unfuckingbelievable. Never would have predicted anything close to that. CNN already writing stories about how hard it’s going to be for Jeffries to govern. Okay, sure. I’m sure he’s devastated.
 
Current estimate is that the Dems will win the national house vote by 13 points. That is big enough to break through all the gerrymanders.

Of course Iowa, being Iowa, is going to pass a constitutional amendment essentially banning future income tax increases, even as it votes for a Dem governor, 3 dem house members, likely a dem senator, and likely a dem AG.
 
El-Sayed's race seems to have fallen to the back burner. I haven't seen any breakdown of that since about 8pm CST.
Early returns have him underperforming the NYT +11, but leading.

Brown in OH is also underperforming his NYT +8.

Basically the folks NYT had at > +7 are doing worse than the polling, while EVERY OTHER DEM is doing better than the polling.
 
My half-sister in TN said the Democrat there has a chance in the Governor’s race. Tonight is insane.



Unfuckingbelievable. Never would have predicted anything close to that. CNN already writing stories about how hard it’s going to be for Jeffries to govern. Okay, sure. I’m sure he’s devastated.
And can we get a new Senate leader now?
 
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