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2024 Elections: One Last Chance for Democracy

Handyman said:
Lindsey Graham begging and pleading on Meet the Press for Nebraska to change their Electoral Count rules. (not happening) They are scared. They have no money and zero momentum and they can feel what is coming.
Click to expand...

How are you so sure about Nebraska? I really, really hope that it doesn't matter, but the legislature is 33-15-1 R-D-I, and they only need 33 votes to break a filibuster. If our strategy is relying on an R to have a shred of integrity.....
 
LynahFan said:
How are you so sure about Nebraska? I really, really hope that it doesn't matter, but the legislature is 33-15-1 R-D-I, and they only need 33 votes to break a filibuster. If our strategy is relying on an R to have a shred of integrity.....
Click to expand...

I don’t trust them, they are beyond desperate

on another topic….

you don’t say!!!!

”New: Mark Robinson’s general consultant, campaign manager, finance director and deputy campaign manager have all resigned, according to a press release from the campaign.”
 
LynahFan said:
How are you so sure about Nebraska? I really, really hope that it doesn't matter, but the legislature is 33-15-1 R-D-I, and they only need 33 votes to break a filibuster. If our strategy is relying on an R to have a shred of integrity.....
Click to expand...

They're reliant on a former Democrat who got censured for voting against abortion and transgender bills so he became a Republican. It can also be changed as late as Monday November 4th. So we're going to be sweating this out for the duration.
 
LynahFan said:
How are you so sure about Nebraska? I really, really hope that it doesn't matter, but the legislature is 33-15-1 R-D-I, and they only need 33 votes to break a filibuster. If our strategy is relying on an R to have a shred of integrity.....
Click to expand...

Because as of now straw polls show they are 3 votes short (same as they were last time around) and one of those votes is the former Dem (as noted by brononick) who wants to be Mayor of Omaha one day if rumors are to be believed. If he wants any shot at that he will not go against the will of those people and they do not want to lose their one EV.

It isn't about integrity...it is about the fact that even GOPers are split on it/against it as are the voters. Nebraska isn't Alabama they don't just fall in line because the Party tells them too. If they did they would have flipped that vote rule the last time this was tried. The fact that an outsider is pushing it like Graham is as likely to turn them off as it is to make them do it.

I also don't think, even if they did find a way to bribe them to do it, that it would hold up in Court just like most election changes this close to the election don't.

Also, remember it only matters if Harris needs it to cross the threshold. She would basically need to only win the Blue Wall States for that to happen. (that creates the 269-269 tie) Any other state she picks up makes it irrelevant. She will win one of AZ, NC or NV. I will leave GA out of this until we know how their lawsuits play out.
 
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Deutsche Gopher Fan said:
I don’t trust them, they are beyond desperate

on another topic….

you don’t say!!!!

”New: Mark Robinson’s general consultant, campaign manager, finance director and deputy campaign manager have all resigned, according to a press release from the campaign.”
Click to expand...

They screwed up hard not getting him off the ballot before the deadline. He is going to make Nebraska not matter.
 
538 swing states (from Harris perspective):

Code: 
    8/15    18    24    28   9/7    11    14    18    22
WI  +3.7   2.9   3.8   3.7   3.0   2.8   2.8   2.7   1.9
MI  +3.0   2.6   3.4   3.0   2.1   1.9   1.6   2.5   2.7
PA  +2.4   1.4   1.8   1.7   0.7   0.7   0.7   1.9   1.5
-----------------------------------------------------------
GA  +0.3  -1.0  -0.5   0.2   0.4  -0.6  -0.7  -0.4  -1.0
NV   0.0  -1.0   0.6   1.3   0.6   0.1   0.1   1.1   0.8
AZ  +1.1   1.3   1.4   1.0  -0.4  -0.6  -0.8   0.0  -0.5
NC  -0.5  -0.3   0.1  -0.4  -0.6   0.2   0.0   0.1  -0.1

[URL="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/"]Prob[/URL] .56   .54   .59   .59   .55   .54   .58   .64   .60
 
Kepler said:
538 swing states (from Harris perspective):

Code: 
8/15 18 24 28 9/7 11 14 18 22
WI +3.7 2.9 3.8 3.7 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.7 1.9
MI +3.0 2.6 3.4 3.0 2.1 1.9 1.6 2.5 2.7
PA +2.4 1.4 1.8 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.9 1.5
-----------------------------------------------------------
GA +0.3 -1.0 -0.5 0.2 0.4 -0.6 -0.7 -0.4 -1.0
NV 0.0 -1.0 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.8
AZ +1.1 1.3 1.4 1.0 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 0.0 -0.5
NC -0.5 -0.3 0.1 -0.4 -0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.1

[URL="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/"]Prob[/URL] .56 .54 .59 .59 .55 .54 .58 .64 .60
Click to expand...

Kep are these polling averages because they don't match the simulations. Harris is +.1 in NC and is basically 60/40 to win Nevada according to 538.

(Honest question)
 
French Rage said:
JD Vance: Eggs now cost $4 a dozen.
Prices clearly visible on supermarket shelf behind him: $3.00 a dozen
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Eggs are like $4.80 where I am.

They were over $4 roughly a year and a half ago, but fell to around $2 a few months ago. They've been steadily climbing over the past three months.

I'm assuming it's more dead chickens due to the avian flu, just like it was last time they were over $4.
 
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Price hasn't changed here I don't think. I would hope it is not gouging again since they were already caught doing that.
 
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