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2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather

Looks like I'm going to get my feet a little damp on Sunday - track right now is "worst case" scenario for rain on Atlantic Coast, with bulk of the storm over the ocean to pick up moisture and depositing it onto the shore.

Still, Florida basically can't flood. If we get 12" of rain, then that just means that the water is 12" deep everywhere - there is no "downhill" for it to flow to. The ground is basically a big sponge, too - we can get 3" of rain in the morning and the dirt (i.e. sand) in my yard will literally be powder dry in my fingers by the afternoon.
 
LynahFan said:
Looks like I'm going to get my feet a little damp on Sunday - track right now is "worst case" scenario for rain on Atlantic Coast, with bulk of the storm over the ocean to pick up moisture and depositing it onto the shore.

Still, Florida basically can't flood. If we get 12" of rain, then that just means that the water is 12" deep everywhere - there is no "downhill" for it to flow to. The ground is basically a big sponge, too - we can get 3" of rain in the morning and the dirt (i.e. sand) in my yard will literally be powder dry in my fingers by the afternoon.
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Long Island is sand but it still floods. It's remarkable how rain can overpower a very porous soil in a short time.

The south shore of Long Island also has bad flooding and it's even flatter than Florida. I guess what I'm saying is I'm not sure you're as safe as you think. Particular because storm surge flooding isn't actually caused by gravity and drainage, it's caused by wind. It's more like a snow drift than an avalanche.
 
How are we on "K" before Sept. 1?!


Seriously, has there been an increase in named storms the last few years?
 
RaceBoarder said:
How are we on "K" before Sept. 1?!


Seriously, has there been an increase in named storms the last few years?
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A La Niña event is increasingly expected to begin soon, if it hasn't already. When that happens, there is less wind shear in the Atlantic basin to rip apart the tropical waves that seed the development of hurricanes. El Niño generally has the opposite effect.

On a broader note, warmer ocean waters due to climate change means that regardless of forecasted weather patterns, it's likely more tropical disturbances will develop into hurricanes and more of those hurricanes will be severe, since they naturally feed on warm, moist conditions.

I'm sure there's also a minor effect of meteorologists increasingly wanting named storms for headlines, so they'll now name any marginal storm that barely meets the criteria.
 
FadeToBlack&Gold said:
I'm sure there's also a minor effect of meteorologists increasingly wanting named storms for headlines
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This sounds a little like "climatologists are really raking it in over global warming." :-)

If the Weather Channel has the ability to name them then yes, absolutely. But if it's real scientists then I would assume there are objective criteria.
 
Kepler said:
This sounds a little like "climatologists are really raking it in over global warming." :-)
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