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2017 Pairwise thread
- Thread starter LTsatch
- Start date
manurespreader
Still upright
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
I was able to get AF in at 15, even with a loss to Canisius in the title game. So I'm guessing the odds are somewhat better than 9%, though I'm not disputing the math. Also I think UND has to sweep St Cloud or they are on the bubble.
Patman
Rodent of Unusual Size
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
Which means that Air Force has to come in at 14th, with a loss in the title game. In that case, the AHA and WCHA Champs would be 15th and 16th. Unless you meant that Canisius came in 14th in your simulation?
And, I think that you are likely right in that, in that case, all the other contenders have to fail, so NoDak has to oust SCSU, Providence takes down NoDame, etc..
Which means that Air Force has to come in at 14th, with a loss in the title game. In that case, the AHA and WCHA Champs would be 15th and 16th. Unless you meant that Canisius came in 14th in your simulation?
And, I think that you are likely right in that, in that case, all the other contenders have to fail, so NoDak has to oust SCSU, Providence takes down NoDame, etc..
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
You could also use AQ1,AQ2,AQ3,AQ4,AQ5,AQ6 and eliminate anyone above 10. I think just using AQ1 and AQ2 is a snub of those two conferences but using AQ1 only is quite legitimate given the PWR of the WCHA leader. I can truly see a team like Northeastern winning Hockey East and finishing no higher than 14 or 15 so perhaps AQ3 is just as appropriate as AQ1/AQ2.
You could also use AQ1,AQ2,AQ3,AQ4,AQ5,AQ6 and eliminate anyone above 10. I think just using AQ1 and AQ2 is a snub of those two conferences but using AQ1 only is quite legitimate given the PWR of the WCHA leader. I can truly see a team like Northeastern winning Hockey East and finishing no higher than 14 or 15 so perhaps AQ3 is just as appropriate as AQ1/AQ2.
manurespreader
Still upright
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
yes but I think then it comes down to the AF vs Canisius game. AF wins and they no longer bump anyone out. So the only non top 16 team would be the WCHA. In other words, it's 50-50 for AF to get in, assuming they get to the championship game of AH.
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
And, i think there is a chance for them to get in if they sweep this week, win the semi and lose to Canisius. In other words, I think there is a 9% possibility according to CHN's PWR Probability Matrix, that AHA gets 2 teams in.
And, i think there is a chance for them to get in if they sweep this week, win the semi and lose to Canisius. In other words, I think there is a 9% possibility according to CHN's PWR Probability Matrix, that AHA gets 2 teams in.
Patman
Rodent of Unusual Size
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
I'm wondering if this is like last year where they don't announce anything because they're trying to maximize for TV
I'm wondering if this is like last year where they don't announce anything because they're trying to maximize for TV
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
The game time info hasn't been announced yet. The days were announced quite some time ago. Fargo and Providence are Fri-Sat, Manchester and Cincinnati are Sat-Sun: http://www.uscho.com/ncaa/mens-division-i-ncaa-tournament/
The game time info hasn't been announced yet. The days were announced quite some time ago. Fargo and Providence are Fri-Sat, Manchester and Cincinnati are Sat-Sun: http://www.uscho.com/ncaa/mens-division-i-ncaa-tournament/
ticapnews
Never Forget!
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
I sure hope the regional final from Manchester is 8:00 on Sunday night. Nothing better for fans than a Sunday night game that gets over around 11. Convenient for flights, hotel reservations and people who need to be at work early Monday. They better not do something reasonable, like have the Sunday games in Manchester and Cincinnati during the day.
I sure hope the regional final from Manchester is 8:00 on Sunday night. Nothing better for fans than a Sunday night game that gets over around 11. Convenient for flights, hotel reservations and people who need to be at work early Monday. They better not do something reasonable, like have the Sunday games in Manchester and Cincinnati during the day.
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
Those that go to Providence/Fargo will more than likely take Friday off, because you know we're getting another 2pm day game. And the UML fans said they would be bringing a much bigger contingent of fans than BU ever would so I'm expecting all of them to be not working so they go. So instead of taking Friday off, you Monday off. What's the big deal?
Those that go to Providence/Fargo will more than likely take Friday off, because you know we're getting another 2pm day game. And the UML fans said they would be bringing a much bigger contingent of fans than BU ever would so I'm expecting all of them to be not working so they go. So instead of taking Friday off, you Monday off. What's the big deal?
Patman
Rodent of Unusual Size
Ticap isn't one of ours as far as I know.... I know I wouldn't do this because I don't have the time to take but I know if it were noon games for each I could go screaming out of work Friday night and then back to my house by 1-2 am Monday... but I don't think they'll announce until the previous Sunday so none of this planning even matters.
Siouxfaninseattle
Fighting Sioux Fan Forever
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
Here's Jim Dahl's latest Pairwise projections. Pretty scary for several teams.
http://blog.collegehockeyranked.com/2017/03/08/penultimate-weekend-pwrncaa-tournament-outlook/
Here's Jim Dahl's latest Pairwise projections. Pretty scary for several teams.
http://blog.collegehockeyranked.com/2017/03/08/penultimate-weekend-pwrncaa-tournament-outlook/
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
He's a Maine fan. And was commenting on the fact that the last regional final game could be Sunday night, thereby forcing fans who want to go to have to take Monday off. Was just trying to point out for those regionals you take Monday as opposed to Friday if you're traveling. Also, my comment was more for all the UML fans bragging that they would bring more fans to Manchester than BU, thereby cementing the reason BU should go west. While I don't deny they will bring folks, I would like to see how large the contingent of fans will be if there is a 2pm Friday afternoon game. They'd have to take the day off. Or part of the day. We're all fortunate here that Providence and Manchester are easy driving distances but if west teams have to travel here, they're going to have to take a day off regardless.
He's a Maine fan. And was commenting on the fact that the last regional final game could be Sunday night, thereby forcing fans who want to go to have to take Monday off. Was just trying to point out for those regionals you take Monday as opposed to Friday if you're traveling. Also, my comment was more for all the UML fans bragging that they would bring more fans to Manchester than BU, thereby cementing the reason BU should go west. While I don't deny they will bring folks, I would like to see how large the contingent of fans will be if there is a 2pm Friday afternoon game. They'd have to take the day off. Or part of the day. We're all fortunate here that Providence and Manchester are easy driving distances but if west teams have to travel here, they're going to have to take a day off regardless.
UML Puck Hawk
New member
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
Wait. Priceless and Ticap are the same poster? really...
Wait. Priceless and Ticap are the same poster? really...
Patman
Rodent of Unusual Size
more handles than the doctor has regenerations
Re: 2017 Pairwise thread
Lowell would need to be a 1 or a 4 seed to play the early game because I think the 1s always play the early game. At any rate, I'll be there regardless of the time after taking the day off and driving +/- 200 Miles. Providence is easier for me. Nice Saturday afternoon probably 2 games, but probably would not be there Sunday night if Lowell was playing. Then I'm home watching on TV. Just like Worcester in 14 and Albany last year. Wait a minute. Maybe that's why they lost.
Lowell would need to be a 1 or a 4 seed to play the early game because I think the 1s always play the early game. At any rate, I'll be there regardless of the time after taking the day off and driving +/- 200 Miles. Providence is easier for me. Nice Saturday afternoon probably 2 games, but probably would not be there Sunday night if Lowell was playing. Then I'm home watching on TV. Just like Worcester in 14 and Albany last year. Wait a minute. Maybe that's why they lost.