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2017-18 Schedules Thread

Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

Ralph Baer said:
RPI and Clarkson played a third game last season. It certainly could be one again this year.
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It is true they could play a third game. It is also true that they could use the moved date as to when they play it. However, that game would become a non-conference game, while the game in Northern Ireland would be a conference game. I'm fairly certain it has to be a league game because ECAC and HEA probably provide some sort of a financial stipulation for the teams to travel to Belfast for these games.
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

FlagDUDE08 said:
It is true they could play a third game. It is also true that they could use the moved date as to when they play it. However, that game would become a non-conference game, while the game in Northern Ireland would be a conference game. I'm fairly certain it has to be a league game because ECAC and HEA probably provide some sort of a financial stipulation for the teams to travel to Belfast for these games.
Click to expand...

That could be what happens.
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

Flag, something I noticed on the spreadsheet: The Big Ten playoffs will be played over three weekends now. 2-7 best of 3 the first weekend, 1 plus the remaining three the second weekend, and then a final on the third weekend. So I think March 2nd and 3rd should be blacked out for the Big Ten, too.
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

Spartanforlife4 said:
Flag, something I noticed on the spreadsheet: The Big Ten playoffs will be played over three weekends now. 2-7 best of 3 the first weekend, 1 plus the remaining three the second weekend, and then a final on the third weekend. So I think March 2nd and 3rd should be blacked out for the Big Ten, too.
Click to expand...

OK, good to know. Obviously with the realignment things have been a little shadowy as to how they will operate, but thank you for the clarification.
 
FlagDUDE08 said:
Speculation time... it was rumored that Mankato is going to BU. Given when Tech is playing ASU, and that HEA has an odd number of teams, it is possible that the Mankato/BU weekend is 16-17 February. Obviously there are plenty of other places where it could be, but given Mankato has to fit in 28 conference games and they have 36 games on the docket (they COULD play 38 but I doubt it will happen), perhaps that's the best place to fit it in?
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It's not a rumor. Mankato comes to Agganis 10/13 and 10/14.
 
FlagDUDE08 said:
OK, good to know. Obviously with the realignment things have been a little shadowy as to how they will operate, but thank you for the clarification.
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There were a couple articles when it was announced but it wasn't very publicized. If they were smart it would just be two weekends with the second as a 4 team tournament at the 1 seed, but they're concerned about rink availability for certain schools. That's also the reason the second round is just one game.
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

Yuppie Scum said:
Darts thrown at a list of teams on the wall
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No, no, no... there are formulas, and let's see if we can figure it out. And for the snowflakes that are anti-math, too bad. :p:D

BC: UCONN, UML, Maine, ?
BU: Maine, UCONN, MC, Prov
Maine: BU, UNH, BC, UMA
MC: BU, Prov, NE, UMA

That should be enough to at least start to figure it out.

Now, looking at the standings the past few years:
Team: 1617, 1516, 1415, 1314 (avg2) (avg3) (avg4)
BC: 2, 1, 3, 1 (1.5) (2) (1.8)
BU: 3, 5, 1, 9 (4) (3) (4.5)
UCONN: 9, 8, 9, X (8.5) (8.7) (8.7)
Maine: 11, 11, 10, 6 (11) (10.7) (9.5)
UMA: 12, 12, 12, 10 (12) (12) (11.5)
UML: 1, 4, 4, 2 (2.5) (3) (2.8)
MC: 7, 7, 11, 11 (7) (8.3) (9)
UNH: 10, 10, 8, 4 (10) (9.3) (8)
NE: 8, 6, 6, 5 (7) (6.7) (6.3)
Prov: 5, 2, 2, 3 (3.5) (3) (3)
UVM: 6, 9, 7, 7 (7.5) (7.3) (7.3)

Given this information, here's what people are playing:
Last year only:
Order: UML, BC, BU, Prov, UVM, MC, NE, UCONN, UNH, Maine, UMA
2: 9, 1, 11, ?
3: 11, 9, 7, 5
11: 3, 10, 2, 12
7: 3, 5, 8, 12

Last 2 years:
Order (avg): BC, UML, Prov, BU, MC, NE, UVM, UCONN, UNH, Maine, UMA,
1.5: 8.5, 2.5, 11, ?
4: 11, 8.5, 7, 3.5
11: 4, 10, 1.5, 12
7: 4, 3.5, 7, 12

Last 3 years:
Order (avg) BC, UML, BU, Prov, NE, UVM, MC, UCONN, UNH, Maine, UMA,
2: 8.7, 3, 10.7, ?
3: 10.7, 8.7, 8.3, 3
10.7: 3, 9.3, 2, 12
7: 3, 3, 6.7, 12

Last 4 years (3 for UCONN):
Order (avg): BC, UML, Prov, BU, NE, UVM, UNH, UCONN, MC, Maine, UMA,
1.8: 8.7, 2.8, 9.5, ?
4.5: 9.5, 8.7, 9, 4.5
9.5: 4.5, 8. 1.8, 11.5
9: 4.5, 3, 6.3, 11.5

And in words one more time:
BC: UCONN, UML, Maine, ?
BU: Maine, UCONN, MC, Prov
Maine: BU, UNH, BC, UMA
MC: BU, Prov, NE, UMA

Obviously the rankings could be adjusted for how each team did vs. Notre Dame, but I'm not going to bother with that.

It looks like, from the outset, a pattern that's being used is that you play the team that's "closest" to you in the standings, then of the remaining 9, divided into three tiers, an upper tier, middle tier, and lower tier.
BC looks to be closest to UML, so they have that game. Maine is lower, UCONN middle. Upper tier teams remaining, and whom I would predict their other game to be, is probably Providence, MAYBE Northeastern.
BU: Closest is Providence. Tier order, top to bottom, would be Merrimack, UCONN, Maine.
Maine: Closest is UMA: Tier order, top to bottom, would be BC, BU, UNH.
Merrimack: Closest looks to be NE, Tier order is Providence, BU, UMA.

Continuing with my hypothesis, it's based on the average ranking of the last 2 years. Of the one we know about, let's try to fill it all in:
Team: Closest, Upper, Middle, Lower (predictions in order)
BC: UML, ?, UCONN, Maine (Prov, NE)
BU: Prov, MC, UCONN, Maine
UCONN: ?, BC, BU, ? (UVM, UNH) (UNH, UMA)
Maine: UMA, BC, BU, UNH
UMA: Maine, ?, MC, ? (UML, Prov) (UVM, UCONN, UNH)
UML: BC, ?, ?, ? (Prov, NE) (NE, UVM, UCONN) (UNH, UMA)
MC: NE, Prov, BU, UMA
UNH: Maine, ?, ?, ? (UML, Prov) (NE), (UVM, UCONN, UMA)
NE: MC, ?, ?, ? (BC, UML, Prov) (UVM, UCONN) (UNH, UMA)
Prov: BU, ?, MC, ? (BC, UML, NE) (UNH, UMA)
UVM: ?, ?, ?, ? (NE, UCONN) (UML, Prov) (NE, UCONN), (UNH, UMA)

Obviously we have a slight issue with the pure predictive model in both BC and UML would play Providence. However, with an odd number of team, the "closest" team isn't pure. It could still be the Providence plays both, but very unlikely because we know they're playing BU, and they don't have a "lower tier" team to play against. And given their standings, Northeastern could also be considered "upper tier" of the remaining teams, especially considering they don't have a top tier team yet. Also, these are just possibilities; they may not match between the two teams, but if we were to eliminate matches, we could probably whittle down to who is playing who.
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

Penn St. / Michigan are in the North Country 10/6 & 7. Not sure of the order.

Lastly, looking ahead to the 2017-18 Hockey Schedule, a weekend you want to circle in big bold sharpie is Oct. 6 & 7th. The women will host Bemidji St and will have their National Championship Banner Raising on Sat the 7th. The Men will complete the double header hosting two Big Ten foes, Penn St. and Michigan. Those will be sellouts so get your tickets early.
Click to expand...
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

I was under the impression that the Hockey East matchups were determined during the season using the 15/16 standings with no regard for the 16/17 standings. I'm not sure if doing it starting from there would change your results, but it's how I thought it was set.
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

Sean Pickett said:
According to Union's official press release the Union Yale game is a league contest. Clarkson's press release, which appears to be more boilerplate, also states the games vs RPI is a league contest. I have found nothing so far that states otherwise.

Sean
Click to expand...

There was a rumor going around that RPI and CCT would play a third game this year (they also did last year), and given 11 of CCT's NC games are known, coupled with the fact that RPI still has some unknown NC games, it is very possible that it could happen. Does this mean the Friendship Four game could be NC? Probably not, for the financially related reasons I mentioned earlier. It doesn't stop them from playing three, just as how Union and Yale would not be prohibited from playing three.
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

TheRevengeance said:
I was under the impression that the Hockey East matchups were determined during the season using the 15/16 standings with no regard for the 16/17 standings. I'm not sure if doing it starting from there would change your results, but it's how I thought it was set.
Click to expand...

The order for 15-16 would be: BC, Prov, UML, BU, NE, MC, UCONN, UVM, UNH, Maine, UMA.

The hypothesis doesn't quite fit with BU if that's the reasoning, but the other ones still seem OK. However, that's why it's called a "hypothesis".
 
Re: 2017-18 Schedules Thread

FlagDUDE08 said:
There was a rumor going around that RPI and CCT would play a third game this year (they also did last year), and given 11 of CCT's NC games are known, coupled with the fact that RPI still has some unknown NC games, it is very possible that it could happen. Does this mean the Friendship Four game could be NC? Probably not, for the financially related reasons I mentioned earlier. It doesn't stop them from playing three, just as how Union and Yale would not be prohibited from playing three.
Click to expand...

I am not stating this as a guess. These are non-conference games. RPI will be at Clarkson on Nov.3 and Clarkson will be at RPI Jan 13.
 
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