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UW needs to advance further than UM. If UM loses in the semis, UW has to at least make it to the finals. If UM wins in the semis, UW has to beat them in the finals.
I just ran as many scenarios as I could figure out with UM and UW both losing in the semifinals and I can't get UW to 2nd, although I can get them 0.0001 behind...
I doubt it. The teams split the season series and both teams went undefeated in their dog**** out of conference schedule, so I think the committee will just stick with the RPI. They haven't shown much of a desire to deviate from PWR/RPI in the past unless there's something really, really clearly separating the teams.
Oh I can tell you that:
Is that in your projections or with actual results to date? Because if it is the latter, then it is just another example of RPI being unable to make any sense. If you throw out all those games, then the only thing that prevents Wisconsin and Minnesota from being identical is that a) they played each other; b) we are including two extra wins for UM over Yale, and one more win over St. Cloud State. In theory, neither of these should be hurting the Gophers, because results that hurt are supposed to be dropped, and these weren't. That means that the reason UW > UM in RPI is that UW had four games against a "more valuable" opponent in UM. Thank goodness for Rensselaer, because that means there is at least one RPI that I like.
It's actual results to date.
The Yale games are having a minimal effect on Minnesota's RPI. Minnesota's RPI before QWB is .6493. The wins against Yale are only counting for .6496, virtually identical and a couple extraneous results from being dropped from the RPI entirely.
I feel like I need to take a shower after writing that; that's awful.
We often make it out to be a East/West thing, but my biggest complaint with RPI is that it seems to be completely overmatched in so many situations. People realize this, attempt to add kludges on top of it, and sometimes the kludges help, but in other cases they either muddy the waters or just make things worse. Maybe we should just spin a wheel and pick teams that way? Everyone has a chance! Yay!
Yes, unless you lose one of those games to Wisconsin, then you're screwed. The only reason BC only has one team factoring into their RPI is because they're undefeated. Once you lose a game, your RPI goes way down and suddenly a lot of games that weren't being included suddenly are.
YES I remember this ahaha and I've been hoping each successive win is going to get there, but it (obviously) hasn't yet.
It depends on who wins the CHA and if there are any other autobids out of WHEA or ECAC. It goes by final Pairwise ranking. But it really doesn't matter either way.
Not necessarily. That would depend on who the CHA team is and whether or not they would have to fly to Boston.