Re: 2013-2014 Union Dutchmen - Can U Three Peat? (Part II)
The question has been which of the ECAC teams is the darkhorse team that is going to come on strong down the regular season stretch and make a run for it? Dartmouth. They are playing like a final 4 team. From the comments of our seniors, they know what they are up against.
The peril of being the #1 is you are always going to draw that team. The good news is the 1R darkhorse
almost never advances again:
90 #1 Colgate defeats #10 Yale, 10-3, 5-4
91 #1 Clarkson defeats #9 Yale, 4-0, 6-3
92 #10 RPI upsets #1 Harvard, 4-3 (ot) <-- this caused the ECAC to immediately end the 1-year experiment of a 1-game QF
93 #1 Harvard defeats #10 Princeton, 6-2, 8-0
94 No darkhorse
95 #1 Clarkson defeats #9 Cornell, 6-2, 7-2
96 No darkhorse
97 #1 Clarkson defeats #10 Yale, 5-4, 2-1
98-02 PIG system
03 #1 Cornell defeats #11 RPI, 3-2, 4-0
04 #1 Colgate defeats #10 St. Lawrence, 1-2, 1-0, 2-1
05 #1 Cornell defeats #9 Clarkson, 5-0, 3-2 (ot)
06 #1 Dartmouth defeats #11 Yale, 5-1, 3-1
07 No darkhorse
08 #8 Colgate upsets #1 Clarkson, 0-1, 4-3, 3-2 (2ot)
09 #1 Yale defeats #12 Brown, 4-2, 2-0
10 #11 Brown upsets #1 Yale, 3-2, 3-6, 1-0
11 #12 Colgate upsets #1 Union, 1-4, 4-2, 4-3 (ot)
12 #1 Union defeats #10 RPI, 3-2, 4-2
13 #1 Quinnipiac defeats #9 Cornell, 2-3, 10-0, 3-2 (2ot)
Of the 16 times when the #1 faced an upset 1R winner, the #1 advanced 75% (12/16) of the time. Taking out the 1-game outlier, those results improve to 12/15 = 80%.