Kepler
Si certus es dubita
Re: 2012 Presidential Election Part III: October Surprise!
Romney basically said "you will get a pony" during the debate. The media is either too lazy or too frightened of being called "biased" to analyze whether anyone will actually get a pony. So instead they report on the horse race, which, since it is tightening, is great news for them.
Romney just seems to be the first candidate to realize you can say "you will get a pony" in the age of the internet, when everything is instantly checkable, and still get away with it because people are either too indoctrinated to see or too turned off to care. If he wins, future elections will simply be about promising prettier ponies, with the media reporting on the size of the post-promise bumps. A completely fact-free electoral system: the reductio ad absurdum of democracy.
Polls have another function aside from the media's desire for a close race (don't get me wrong, if Romney was leading most of the way and Obama suddenly had a spike in support we'd be seeing the same thing) which is to help push a narrative. I don't think there's necessarily a coordination here, but in the days after the debate and over the past week I've seen GOP related pollsters out in droves showing Romney movement basically everywhere. Far from complaining about this, I think this is smart politics. As the media is lazy and stupid, they're not going to care who took the poll but will dutifully report it. Romney has had his best week so far, although his #'s in the tracking polls are heavy on people responding in the days after the debate so time and the next debate (not the VP one) will tell.
Romney basically said "you will get a pony" during the debate. The media is either too lazy or too frightened of being called "biased" to analyze whether anyone will actually get a pony. So instead they report on the horse race, which, since it is tightening, is great news for them.
Romney just seems to be the first candidate to realize you can say "you will get a pony" in the age of the internet, when everything is instantly checkable, and still get away with it because people are either too indoctrinated to see or too turned off to care. If he wins, future elections will simply be about promising prettier ponies, with the media reporting on the size of the post-promise bumps. A completely fact-free electoral system: the reductio ad absurdum of democracy.
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