leswp1
Well-known member
Re: 2012 Elections - Fear is the mind killer. Fear is the little death....
Romney tried the aw shucks thing when he was way ahead. In any state where he wasn't he had very nasty campaigns with lots of negs. He spent oodles of dollars on extremely negative campaign tactics- enough that the coverage around here was about how wildly negative the campaign had gotten and the comparison of how many $ were spent by the opponents v Romney. I don't see him maintaining the aw shucks thing. He wasn't good at it in the primary and I don't see him being able to coast in the gen election.Hmm...interesting nuance in one of the latest polls regarding Romney's so-called "women's problem":
The rest of the article goes on to parse the groups more finely and to speculate on some potential "causative factors."
If I am merely speculating on the election for fun using the Iowa Electronic Futures Market (I'm up slightly from my initial foray since I first mentioned it), this is more evidence at least for a hold if not for a buy. When gaps are as big as they are in Obama's favor right now, it's hard to imagine them widening much, especially as people start paying closer attention to the issues. Obama will go more negative than Romney while Romney will keep doing his "aw shucks gee whiz" routine and the gap will narrow.There's no way I'm holding the position into the election, I know I'll close it out sooner than that, but for now it is a way to take away some of the dreariness.