John_Fuller
New member
Re: 2010/2011 UML In-Season Thread II
You're right, losing to lower teams does hurt you. Lowell arguably would have made the NCAA in 2009's as an at-large if they did not have an dreadful out of conference schedule. That bid went to Vermont because they ran the table OOC and also had the schedule to back it up. If you win, that does solve a lot of problems, no matter how tough your schedule is.
Over the course of the past few years, Lowell's schedule has gotten weaker even when this team had talent. We used to play the Union's, RPI's, Dartmouth's of the ECAC, or the CC, Denver, and Duluth. Now, it's been Bentley, Huntsville, Mankato, Niagara, RIT. Even Merrimack went to North Dakota a few years ago. It's a concerning trend.
I guess the point I was trying to make is that if you don't have balance and play some of the top rated teams in all four conferences, how are you ever going make that jump to the next level and get to the NCAA. Playing Brown isn't going to get the job done.
The current RPI would disagree with you.
Yale, #2 in PRI, SOS rank #27.
Boston College, #3 in RPI, SOS rank #28.
Union, #4 in RPI, SOS rank #37.
Merrimack, #7 RPI, SOS rank #45.
UNH, #10 RPI, SOS rank #29.
RPI, #15 in RPI (but #13 in PWR), SOS rank #40.
Dartmouth, #16 in RPI, SOS rank #25.
All those teams have winning percentages .600 or above.
So one third of the top 20 teams have a schedule rank of #25 or below. Five of those teams will probably make the NCAAs this year, maybe more. Make the schedule you can make, and win the games you schedule, and a team will do OK for itself. Strength of Schedule is there to help compare teams with winning records to one another, to properly weight wins against good teams more than wins against bad ones.
NoDak, currently #1 in RPI and #2 in PWR, has the #1 SOS rank.
Alaska-Anchorage, currently #26 in RPI and PWR, has the #2 SOS rank. And a winning percentage of .420.
If you don't win, it's irrelevant. In fact, it can actually hurt you. BU and UNH are both ahead of Merrimack in Hockey East, but ranked lower in PWR. BU lost to Brown (and tied them) and lost to RPI and tied Notre Dame.
UNH lost to Miami and St. Lawrence, tied Michigan, and tied Brown.
Merrimack's OOC schedule was not strong, but they ran the table. There are enough TUCs in the league to help you gain a good ranking if you post a winning record.
I guess the moral of the story is.. don't schedule Brown.
You're right, losing to lower teams does hurt you. Lowell arguably would have made the NCAA in 2009's as an at-large if they did not have an dreadful out of conference schedule. That bid went to Vermont because they ran the table OOC and also had the schedule to back it up. If you win, that does solve a lot of problems, no matter how tough your schedule is.
Over the course of the past few years, Lowell's schedule has gotten weaker even when this team had talent. We used to play the Union's, RPI's, Dartmouth's of the ECAC, or the CC, Denver, and Duluth. Now, it's been Bentley, Huntsville, Mankato, Niagara, RIT. Even Merrimack went to North Dakota a few years ago. It's a concerning trend.
I guess the point I was trying to make is that if you don't have balance and play some of the top rated teams in all four conferences, how are you ever going make that jump to the next level and get to the NCAA. Playing Brown isn't going to get the job done.