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115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

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Based on the polling, it almost looks like the Democrats could have benefitted by splitting support between two candidates early on. Seems unlikely that Ossoff could secure a majority in this first round. But, if you split Ossoff's support, there may have been a decent shot of winning the top two spots.
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

Ossoff is running away with the special election but his projections put him around 48% when all is said and done meaning there will be a runoff. Handel is in second place with 18% :eek:

Live Results Here
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

I went to a town hall on healthcare in erik paulsens district tonight. Andy slavitt was the speaker.

Lots of angry, worried and vocal senior citizens. A few of them were at paulsens office today. Andy himself had to pay to attend at event today just to see paulsen, since he won't face his constituents publicly.
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

I went to a town hall on healthcare in erik paulsens district tonight. Andy slavitt was the speaker.

Lots of angry, worried and vocal senior citizens. A few of them were at paulsens office today. Andy himself had to pay to attend at event today just to see paulsen, since he won't face his constituents publicly.

Paulsen has proven he is nothing more than a spineless GOP lapdog. He doesnt have a real thought in his brain just whatever Paul Ryan tells him to think...so glad I moved to Keith's district :)

Angie hates that I was right about Paulsen...if the Dems put up anyone better than Terry Bonoff he will be dead in 2 years.
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

Did he have a chance on a runoff if anyone else was president ? I doubt it

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Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

The base of the DNC is not representative of the voters in the district??

That district, it was reported yesterday, has been a GOP stronghold for decades. Given that the race has been forced to a runoff, there are pundits out there saying this is a sign that Trump and Congress is weakening the party.
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

Prediction: Democrat voters will think "Well, he has nearly a 30 point lead, I can sit this one out".
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

Georgia, Epic fail. Trump wins again.

No offense but this is completely wrong. First of all isnt it something like a 20 point swing from when Price won? That is an epic fail for the RNC not the DNC...especially since that district has been solid red for decades.

Second, there is no guarantee that Handel will beat Ossoff in the runoff. Just because the GOP voters outvoted the Dems overall (barely) doesnt mean they are all going to vote or that they are all going to vote for her. Plenty didnt like her and wont be super motivated to vote for her.

Third, it is going to be super close no matter who wins. That shows that Trump support is waning at the moment. A 30 year old nobody just put the fear of god into Trump and his party (so much so he was robocalling and tweeting about it on election day) in a district he had zero business winning. If they can do it there, they can do it elsewhere as well.
 
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Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

Prediction: Democrat voters will think "Well, he has nearly a 30 point lead, I can sit this one out".

My guess is the robocalls wont allow for that. Only the Clintonistas sit on leads ;)
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

No offense but this is completely wrong. First of all isnt it something like a 20 point swing from when Price won? That is an epic fail for the RNC not the DNC...especially since that district has been solid red for decades.

Second, there is no guarantee that Handel will beat Ossoff in the runoff. Just because the GOP voters outvoted the Dems overall (barely) doesnt mean they are all going to vote or that they are all going to vote for her. Plenty didnt like her and wont be super motivated to vote for her.

Third, it is going to be super close no matter who wins. That shows that Trump support is waning at the moment. A 30 year old nobody just put the fear of god into Trump and his party (so much so he was robocalling and tweeting about it on election day) in a district he had zero business winning. If they can do it there, they can do it elsewhere as well.

This.

Scooby, either you don't understand this or you do and are b_tching for the sake of b_itching.
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

This.

Scooby, either you don't understand this or you do and are b_tching for the sake of b_itching.

Trump only won by one point in that district. Democrats believed that they could win Georgia. These are just facts. I hope Handy is correct and Ossoff does win, but I seriously doubt it. Perez was on Morning Joe this morning and it was more of the clueless DNC rhetoric that never ends.

Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump

Dems failed in Kansas and are now failing in Georgia. Great job Karen Handel! It is now Hollywood vs. Georgia on June 20th.
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

Prediction: Democrat voters will think "Well, he has nearly a 30 point lead, I can sit this one out".

Nah, in this case there was enough discussion of the desire to avoid the runoff that Democratic voters know they need to repeat.

It's going to be an interesting runoff. The combined strength of all 11 Republican candidates was 52%. That means all those voters have to repeat, despite voting for a nominee that 64% of the GOP voters in the first round did not choose. Can that be done? Sure. Will that happen -- running the table in the general behind a guy not very popular in his own caucus? I don't see it as a slam-dunk, that's for sure.
 
Re: 115th Congress. In Bridge, Can Hearts be Trumped? In Spades!

No chance. Realize that the total of all the Democratic vote was under 50. He also didn't do any better than Hillary in totality. It's typical DNC.

Nate Silver says it's a toss up, he is currently favoring Handel by less than one point in the run off. He does have a chance...

Consider Obama lost this congressional district by 23 points in 2012. 538 would put the Republican advantage somewhere between Trump's (1.5 points) and Romney's (23 points) using a weighted average to estimate that a Republican should win Georgia 6 by around 10 points if the presidential candidates were polling about 50/50 nationally. This is looking pretty good for Democrats -- Republicans have to defend almost 50 house seats that are bluer than Georgia 6, which is now a tossup. The Ds need to win 24 of those. Who knows how things will look in 2018 though.
 
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