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WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

Fighting Sioux 23

Fighting Sioux 23

New member
Well, Siouxsports has their What If Calculator back up...

http://siouxsports.com/hockey/whatif/index.php?confid=1

Here is what I had...

1. North Dakota - 45 pts
2. Duluth - 41 pts
3. Denver - 39 pts
t4. Wisconsin - 31 pts
t4. Nebraska Omaha - 31 pts
6. Colorado College - 30 pts
7. Minnesota - 28 pts
t8. Bemidji State - 22 pts
t8. Anchorage - 22 pts
10. Mankato - 21 pts
11. SCSU - 18 pts
12. Michigan Tech - 8 pts

Obviously it's VERY early, as most teams have only played half their schedule. Anyway, please post your picks and thoughts. :)
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

Fighting Sioux 23 said:
Well, Siouxsports has their What If Calculator back up...

http://siouxsports.com/hockey/whatif/index.php?confid=1

Here is what I had...

1. North Dakota - 45 pts
2. Duluth - 41 pts
3. Denver - 39 pts
t4. Wisconsin - 31 pts
t4. Nebraska Omaha - 31 pts
6. Colorado College - 30 pts
7. Minnesota - 28 pts
t8. Bemidji State - 22 pts
t8. Anchorage - 22 pts
10. Mankato - 21 pts
11. SCSU - 18 pts
12. Michigan Tech - 8 pts

Obviously it's VERY early, as most teams have only played half their schedule. Anyway, please post your picks and thoughts. :)
Click to expand...
DU and UND have virtually the exact same (easy) schedule the rest of the way. I'd be amazed if those two teams don't finish 1st and 2nd within two points of each other.
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

dggoddard said:
DU and UND have virtually the exact same (easy) schedule the rest of the way. I'd be amazed if those two teams don't finish 1st and 2nd within two points of each other.
Click to expand...

How about DU's schedule compared to Duluth's?

Both play SCSU at home and Mankato on the road. Duluth gets UNO at home and DU plays UNO on the road (advantage UMD). DU gets Tech at home and UMD plays them on the road (a wash). UMD gets MN at home but DU plays them on the road (advantage UMD). They each play CC, although UMD's are both at CC while DU gets one at home (slight advantage DU). DU host AA and UMD hosts UW(a wash).

I would take Duluth's schedule over DU's any day.
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

dggoddard said:
DU and UND have virtually the exact same (easy) schedule the rest of the way. I'd be amazed if those two teams don't finish 1st and 2nd within two points of each other.
Click to expand...

Very similar schedules as far as who they play, but when you look at home/road it's a little different. Sioux go on the road to play the bottom two teams and then the #5 team in conference. Denver plays the #4 team in conference, two teams that are tied for #5, and the team tied for #8 in conference. It's a much more difficult road schedule for Denver. Duluth has a slightly easier road schedule going in than Denver as well, playing at the #5 team in conference, #8 team and #12 team.
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

Where's the option for "What if SCSU pulls its head out of its collective ***"?
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

Fighting Sioux 23 said:
If they do that, they could challenge for home ice.
Click to expand...

In all honesty, I don't think we get home ice, but I would wage dollars to donuts we still finish ahead of Anchorage, Mankato and Bemidji, the first two for sure. MAYBE Sconnie, but I doubt it and we'd need to sweep them at the NHC.
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

SCSU Euro said:
In all honesty, I don't think we get home ice, but I would wage dollars to donuts we still finish ahead of Anchorage, Mankato and Bemidji, the first two for sure. MAYBE Sconnie, but I doubt it and we'd need to sweep them at the NHC.
Click to expand...

If St. Cloud played up to pre-season billing, they could get home ice. It would be a remarkable turnaround. Saying that, they play a brutal schedule including the top 3 in the conference. It will be difficult moving up, especially with the way they've played the first half, but I've seen quite a few second half surges so I won't rule it out. :)
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

SCSU Euro said:
Where's the option for "What if SCSU pulls its head out of its collective ***"?
Click to expand...

If I put on my cardinal and black glasses and wish really hard the best I could see it 6th place and trust me that was with a lot of wishing and doing a complete 180.........
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

scsutommyboy said:
If I put on my cardinal and black glasses and wish really hard the best I could see it 6th place and trust me that was with a lot of wishing and doing a complete 180.........
Click to expand...

We'll know in January.

28 pts. will be the minimum for home ice. I don't really see much chance for 6th unless you have at least 28 pts. That will also probably require some sort of tiebreaker win.

SCSU can get there, but it would be tough. Basically they need to sweep the 3 January series against Tech and Mankato at home and BSU on the road. If they can do that, then get a split in the 5 tougher series at UNO, UMD and DU, and home against UND and UW, they've got 29 points. But any slip ups and they're going to need to pick up 3+ pts. in the UND or UW series at home, most likely, or they're going to be on the road in the first round.
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

SJHovey said:
How about DU's schedule compared to Duluth's?

Both play SCSU at home and Mankato on the road. Duluth gets UNO at home and DU plays UNO on the road (advantage UMD). DU gets Tech at home and UMD plays them on the road (a wash). UMD gets MN at home but DU plays them on the road (advantage UMD). They each play CC, although UMD's are both at CC while DU gets one at home (slight advantage DU). DU host AA and UMD hosts UW(a wash).

I would take Duluth's schedule over DU's any day.
Click to expand...
DU is 10-2-1 in their last thirteen games, including road victories against UND & UMD. I'm not too worried.
 
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Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

UND- 44 pts.
UMD- 42 pts.
Denver- 40 pts.
Nebraska-Omaha- 37 pts.
UW- 31 pts.
UMN- 30 pts.
CC- 30 pts.
SCSU- 24 pts.
Bemidji State- 18 pts.
AA- 15 pts.
Mankato- 14 pts.
MTech- 7 pts.

Hate putting the Sioux first. :(
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

I had Minnesota split with teams ahead or tied with them, and sweeping teams behind them. They end up with 34 points then. Obviously, this is incredibly optimistic seeming beating teams they probably should has not been their M.O. thus far.
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

Team GP Pts
UND 28 46
UMD 28 40
Denver 28 39
N-Omaha 28 35
Mankato 28 29
UW 28 28
UMN 28 27
AA 28 23
CC 28 23
SCSU 28 22
Bemidji S 28 18
MTech 28 6
 
Re: WCHA What If Calculator: 2010-2011

Why not:

UND 28 45
Denver 28 42
Nebraska-Omaha 28 40
UMD 28 39
UMN 28 34
UW 28 29
CC 28 25
Mankato 28 20
SCSU 28 19
Bemidji State 28 18
AA 28 16
MTech 28 9
 
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