USCHO Fan Forum
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
-
The USCHO Fan Forum has migrated to a new plaform, xenForo. Most of the function of the forum should work in familiar ways. Please note that you can switch between light and dark modes by clicking on the gear icon in the upper right of the main menu bar. We are hoping that this new platform will prove to be faster and more reliable. Please feel free to explore its features.
WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
- Thread starter MissThundercat
- Start date
manurespreader
Still upright
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
Don't look now but LSSU, if they get a split this weekend will be in a position to sweep Ferris and if so they are in and Ferris is out. So that last weekend is big for them and for Ferris.
Don't look now but LSSU, if they get a split this weekend will be in a position to sweep Ferris and if so they are in and Ferris is out. So that last weekend is big for them and for Ferris.
manurespreader
Still upright
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
Looking at the pairwise predictor and thinking about the BG and NMU chances. A lot depends on three or four teams out east. BU number 1. if they win the beanpot they can be in the top 15 fairly easily before the end of the year and ahead of both NMu and BG.
If they lose the Beanpot and one other game it's a lot tougher for them. Northeastern. I figure them the favorite for the Beanpot and a couple more wins and they will be pretty solidly in. Michigan, has a tough schedule in that they have another series with Notre Dame which even if they lose won't hurt them too much, but if they lose one vs MSU I think they will have to win the conf tourney to get in. Minnesota, Wisconsin, are players and we'll have to see. Penn State I think has a tough road and I think the odds are they don't make it 2 at MSU and 2 at home vs Minnesota. I can't see them winning 3 of those 4. WMU lost their top player two weeks ago and will have a tough time.
In any event BG and NMU have to win out and get someplace in the WCHA tournament and pray for some help. But they still have a chance.
Looking at the pairwise predictor and thinking about the BG and NMU chances. A lot depends on three or four teams out east. BU number 1. if they win the beanpot they can be in the top 15 fairly easily before the end of the year and ahead of both NMu and BG.
If they lose the Beanpot and one other game it's a lot tougher for them. Northeastern. I figure them the favorite for the Beanpot and a couple more wins and they will be pretty solidly in. Michigan, has a tough schedule in that they have another series with Notre Dame which even if they lose won't hurt them too much, but if they lose one vs MSU I think they will have to win the conf tourney to get in. Minnesota, Wisconsin, are players and we'll have to see. Penn State I think has a tough road and I think the odds are they don't make it 2 at MSU and 2 at home vs Minnesota. I can't see them winning 3 of those 4. WMU lost their top player two weeks ago and will have a tough time.
In any event BG and NMU have to win out and get someplace in the WCHA tournament and pray for some help. But they still have a chance.
gfmorris
New member
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
http://blog.wchaplayoffs.com/2018/02/09/2017-18-wcha-week-16-below-and-analysis/
That's everything that I think that I know about the playoff picture to date.
Without putting any math behind it, I think that it'll be
1 - Minnesota State (they have games and three-point wins in hand)
2 - Northern Michigan (they have three-point wins in hand and, should it come down to it the D tiebreaker)
3 - Bowling Green
4 - Bemidji State (the games in hand are huge, even if they've been crap these last two weeks)
5 - Michigan Tech (can change their fate if they sweep this weekend)
6 - Alaska (games in hand, including two against UAA, really help)
7 - Alabama-Huntsville (boy do I want to put them in sixth)
8 - Ferris State (mainly has to fend off Lake Superior that last weekend)
9 - Lake Superior
10 - Alaska-Anchorage (whose fans will now call me a troll)
GFM
http://blog.wchaplayoffs.com/2018/02/09/2017-18-wcha-week-16-below-and-analysis/
That's everything that I think that I know about the playoff picture to date.
Without putting any math behind it, I think that it'll be
1 - Minnesota State (they have games and three-point wins in hand)
2 - Northern Michigan (they have three-point wins in hand and, should it come down to it the D tiebreaker)
3 - Bowling Green
4 - Bemidji State (the games in hand are huge, even if they've been crap these last two weeks)
5 - Michigan Tech (can change their fate if they sweep this weekend)
6 - Alaska (games in hand, including two against UAA, really help)
7 - Alabama-Huntsville (boy do I want to put them in sixth)
8 - Ferris State (mainly has to fend off Lake Superior that last weekend)
9 - Lake Superior
10 - Alaska-Anchorage (whose fans will now call me a troll)
GFM
MTUHuskies
New member
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Looks plausible. Although NOTHING like my preseason predictions looked.
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
gfmorris
New member
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
The only big outliers to me, as someone who plays with data, are NMU and FSU. To a lesser extent, I'm surprised that BG is better and Tech is this middling.
GFM
The only big outliers to me, as someone who plays with data, are NMU and FSU. To a lesser extent, I'm surprised that BG is better and Tech is this middling.
GFM
MTUHuskies
New member
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
MSU
MTU
BSU
BGSU
FSU
UAF
LSSU
UAH
NMU
UAA
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
I guess the more I look at it, I wasn't that far off if you juggle Tech, Ferris and NMU. My preseason predictions were:
MSU
MTU
BSU
BGSU
FSU
UAF
LSSU
UAH
NMU
UAA
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
gfmorris
New member
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
What we know as of this morning: http://blog.wchaplayoffs.com/2018/02/10/what-we-know-after-the-games-of-2018-02-09/
GFM
What we know as of this morning: http://blog.wchaplayoffs.com/2018/02/10/what-we-know-after-the-games-of-2018-02-09/
GFM
A lot of people seem to have forgotten that NMU had the best record in the WCHA after the New Year last season, and at one point had a 9 game unbeaten streak (7-0-2).
Last edited:
MTUHuskies
New member
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
In my world Northern sucks no matter what their W-L record states.
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Looking forward to the great rivalry in two weeks!
But they still finished in 8th place and replaced their coaching staff. No one expected nor should they have expected Northern to play as well as they have this season.
Potulny is going to be a hot name for coaching openings over the next few years.
I will say that being in contention for the top spot is a bit of a surprise. But I thought they had a good shot at home ice. My preseason looked like this: MINN St
BG
Bemidji
NMU
Tech
Ferris
UAF
UAH
UAA
LSSU
gfmorris
New member
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
My math didn't forget, but I still had them at league average despite all of that.
GFM
My math didn't forget, but I still had them at league average despite all of that.
GFM
aparch
Well-known member
Same. This second half run has been fun to watch.
manurespreader
Still upright
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
You mean aside from losing at Huntsville?
That made NMU 9-1-0 in their last 10. How many teams in the country are better than 9-1-0 in their last ten?
RaceBoarder
Waiting for the Snow to fly...
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
It seems the top 3 are fairly set.
NMU would need a good amount of help from Ferris to topple Mankato, which I don't see as that likely. NMU will also have their hands full with MTU next week.
BGSU is the most likely mover, IMO. They should close the gap with NMU this weekend and I see them as more likely to gain more points against UAH than NMU will against Tech if we're going to change the status quo.
It seems the top 3 are fairly set.
NMU would need a good amount of help from Ferris to topple Mankato, which I don't see as that likely. NMU will also have their hands full with MTU next week.
BGSU is the most likely mover, IMO. They should close the gap with NMU this weekend and I see them as more likely to gain more points against UAH than NMU will against Tech if we're going to change the status quo.
Re: WCHA Season Thread 2017-18: In Which We Try For Two Bids
I wish I could disagree, but I can't. The Tech series will be a tough split, given the rivalry, let alone sweep.
I wish I could disagree, but I can't. The Tech series will be a tough split, given the rivalry, let alone sweep.
