Re: WCHA armchair expansion
The WCHA is not going to be in that tough of a place as you think. If Anchorage makes a move like that. Do you honestly think the WCHA is going to lay down?
The attractiveness of having exempt games in your pocket is directly proportional to the number of butts in the seats that your arena regularly has. After the Big Ten schools in the CCHA attendance this year was ....
Miami - 3065
Western - 2983
Notre Dame - 2667
NMU - 2541
BGSU - 2169
LSSU - 2103
Ferris - 1743
St. Larry - 1646
The math from there is 2nd grade. There really isn't enough money in exemption for pretty much any of those schools to be very interested. 2 extra games at home for Miami (@ $20 a pop) is $120,000 ... 2 extra games at St. Larry (@ $20 a pop) is just $65,840. Compare that to 2 extra games for North Dakota (@ $25 a pop) is $575,000.
Let's imagine that all things breakdown into total chaos after the BTHC forms shall we? UAA and UAF band together and go shopping for other members to form the NWHA. Here's the schools you approach first ...
UND - 11500 per game
UNO - 8049 per game
CC - 6772 per game
SCSU - 5935 per game
UMD - 5897 per game
DU - 5423 per game
Now .. onto some incentives to perhaps bundle into the sales package ...
UAA and UAF structure three tournaments each to which they invite teams who love to get the exemptions -- we know Michigan, Michigan State, BU, BC, Maine, Mass Lowell, Vermont, Mass, Yale, RPI all take the invitation to come here whenever it is offered in the past because all of those school get attendance in their home rinks from 3000 to 8000 per game meaning they ALL make between $120,000 and $320,000 for two home games (using the $20 per pop number). Naturally, there are schools other than the ones I've listed above that would say yes to a tournament invitation.
So you might have a tournament season that looked like this for example...
UAF, DU, Vermont, UAA ...
UAA, BC, UAF, SCSU ...
UAF, Maine, UAA, UND ...
UAA, Yale, UAF, UMD ...
UAF, BU, CC, UAA ...
UAA, UNO, UAF, MSU ...
That way each of the six non-Alaska conference members gets two non-conference games to help fill out their schedule. They pocket the additional two exemptions from playing against an Alaska school in Alaska. Yes, they have to take an additional trip to Alaska to play ... but it gives them a chance to play typically highly rated teams in non-conference games on a neutral rink. That's RPI/Pairwise bonus stuff there.
I deliberately left Minnesota and Wisconsin off the tournament invitee list because fans at both of those schools have convinced me that their programs will not be interested in traveling up to Alaska to make money. All the schools I did list (as well as the potential conference members I've listed) have in the past attended non-conference tournaments in Alaska in order to gain the additional exemptions in years they weren't otherwise scheduled to come here.
A 21 game schedule might be a good way to approach the thing. UAA and UAF could cluster their home schedules somehow to ease the travel of each member for example ... DU arrives in Anchorage on Thursday, plays UAA on Saturday and UAF on Monday/Tuesday. The next week CC plays UAF on Saturday then UAA on Monday/Tuesday. In both cases DU and CC would be back in school on Wednesday. UAA and UAF would likewise play three game series on their road trips. Perhaps even three different teams .. DU on Friday, CC on Saturday and UNO on Monday.
Of course, making something like that work scheduling-wise eliminates to so degree the weekend 2 game series perhaps. Maybe it works .. maybe it doesn't. Just the first thing that comes into my head when you've got 7 other teams to play against. Or maybe a team plays UAA on a Sunday/Monday then UAF on Thursday/Friday (or some other variation).
I'd tend to think that there is an attractive way to promote the concept via scheduling. Maybe those schools would be more interested in a longer conference schedule? If so, then you play 28 conference games and UAA and UAF wouldn't host 3 tournaments each.
So those seem to me to be just a few ways that you make membership attractive to schools who would all be looking for a conference should the sky fall when the BTHC forms. The primary point is that UAA and UAF have a bit more clout when they work together on such things.
Lastly, I'm not one to think that calamity will be the result of BTHC formation. But if it did, UAA and UAF could help build a fairly strong conference out of the ashes.
The WCHA is not going to be in that tough of a place as you think. If Anchorage makes a move like that. Do you honestly think the WCHA is going to lay down?