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WCHA 2017-18 Season

Re: WCHA 2017-18 Season

I don't think many would question her offensive skills, but the fact that she led the team in +/- (by a rather substantial margin) was surprising, at least to me.

http://www.gophersports.com/sports/w-hockey/stats/2017-2018/teamcume.html

Her - was high also. She's got the highest + and the highest - on the team. I think she was at least a fairly active contributor to a lot of goals against. To me she's a really, really great case study in noticing/appreciating what can a player do vs what can't a player do.

Frequently people start to focus on the weakness(es) of a player or coach or manager at the expense of their strengths. Then when a change is made they are unpleasantly surprised when the thing they hated is gone but so are all these other things the person did well.

Maybe I'll figure out next year where Ms Baldwin sits on that scale for me. But I have to be appreciative of all she's given the Gophers and be happy for the acknowledgement she's been given :D
 
Re: WCHA 2017-18 Season

Just about the entire difference between Ohio State and Cornell in "QWB adjusted RPI" is Ohio's 'quality win bonus'. Assuming the two games against Mankato did little one way or the other - yes, they are wins, but wins against a team with a win percentage on the low end of things - Ohio State beats Cornell on QWB. And that large difference in QWB wouldn't be affected by two games more-or-less against Mankato. Put it another way, sweeping Wisconsin in early Feb likely got/kept Ohio State in the NCAAs.

Remember, RPI has three components: won-loss, opponent's won-loss, and opponents-opponents won-loss. A win over Mankato raises your won-loss percent some, likely drops your "opponent's won-loss" some, and has little effect one way or another on "opponents-opponents", because by the end of the season Ohio's opponents-opponents are largely the same as Mankato's.

But yes, Grant might be able to run actual numbers.

The Buckeyes swept the Gophers and swept the Badgers. They earned their place in the tournament :)
 
Re: WCHA 2017-18 Season

I'm no math wizard, but Cornell had a SOS of 1 and OSU had a SOS of 10. As close as they are in winning percentage, if you drop OSU by two wins, I'm not sure you are correct.

Where are you seeing that? Cornell actually has a higher winning percentage than OSU, though that may not be true once you drop games from the calculation. OSU, on the other hand, has a higher SOS. On top of that, Ohio State has a much bigger Quality Win Bonus, which constitutes pretty much the whole gap between them.

More importantly than looking at ranks, though, is looking at the difference in QWB Adj RPI. That margin is .0052 points. My guess is that that's more than an order of magnitude larger than the difference that two wins over Mankato is worth. OSU's wins over Mankato are probably very close to the line where they would be dropped for hurting the Buckeyes' RPI.

Eliminating those two games would drop OSU's winning percentage from .6757 to .6571. With the coefficient of .30, that would drop their RPI by .0056. So, if we assume that OOWP is a wash either way, which it is probably close to being, dropping two games against Mankato would only have to improve their OWP by .0018 for OSU to remain ahead, and I'm certain it would do that, though calculating that by hand would be more of a pain than I intend to deal with.
 
Re: WCHA 2017-18 Season

I'm staying out of the Gopher thread where there seems to be campaign by Gopher fans to move the Final Face-off to Madison.......

.........I will say when I saw the four finalists I kind of expected Baldwin to win. But yes, I am bemused by it. Congrats to Sydney, though, and she does have a bucketful of skill and talent :)

She was picked the WCHA Defensive Player of the month 4 out of 5 times this year.
Only 4 players in the NCAA were on the ice for more of their team’s goals this year. For example on score happy BC in goal happy Hockey Least league, Watts was only on the ice for seven more goals this year. Perhaps most important of all was tasked with leading a defensive corps with Zero, None, Nada, upper classmen aside from herself. Often with only four blueliners for the game. What I’ll remember is her nice hard low shot that has as good of a chance going in as being deflected in by a team mate, … and surprising speed, at least apparently to most opposing players. A lot of expectations four years ago and this year, I’d say she lived up to them.
 
Re: WCHA 2017-18 Season

Are we helpless observers, buffeted by the winds of oppression, unable to battle injustice and make wrongs right? No, no we are not.

I propose an unofficial USCHO Seventeen Posters WCHA Player of the Year Award.

My vote is Emma Maltais of The Ohio State University.

Except Maltais would not win this on her own team.
 
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