SoCalSiouxFan
Registered User
Re: University of North Dakota Hockey: 2011-2012
Thank you! Excellent analysis!
There are other intangible factors at play here also. As defending WCHA champions, teams will not overlook us, the WCHA will be competative, and we will expect a lot from incomming freshmen. However, having the two WCHA championship trophies in our lobby, the incomming freshmen will be expected defend our WCHA titles. Yes, it will be a big challenge, but I have a feeling that with this incomming group that they will not dissapoint.
I don't really care what people think is going to happen with the Sioux. My issue with your prediction was that it didn't make any sense. Typically, players don't leave early after having poor seasons, and yet you think that not only will North Dakota have a terrible season, but they will see a mass defection from the program. To me, that doesn't make sense at all.
I'm not sure how Minnesota has the edge over North Dakota offensively. North Dakota has the more highly regarded offensive recruits coming in, and has the better returning players. Offensively, North Dakota returns 177 points from 14 players (about 12.64 points/player). Minnesota returns 148 points from 17 players (about 8.71 points/player). Added to that, is that North Dakota has a higher regarded incoming freshman class. Obviously, that remains to be seen. Minnesota has had some very highly regarded classes that bombed at the collegiate level. As for Bjugstad and Budish putting up a combined 35 goals, it's completely doable, but considering that they've put up a combined 17 goals in 75 games in their careers, I wouldn't bank on it. FWIW, the Gopher seniors last year put up 51 goals.
Since Hakstol took over, North Dakota has consistently been a top notch Defensive squad. I definitely expect North Dakota to be very sound in our own end next year (along with almost everyone else that I've talked with, Sioux fans and non-Sioux fans).
Here are North Dakota's Team Defense stats since Hakstol took over...
2010-2011: 2.14 gpg (2nd Half: 1.71 gpg)
2009-2010: 2.12 gpg (2nd Half: 2.08 gpg)
2008-2009: 2.74 gpg (2nd Half: 2.53 gpg)
2007-2008: 1.86 gpg (2nd Half: 1.65 gpg)
2006-2007: 2.70 gpg (2nd Half: 2.36 gpg)
2005-2006: 2.37 gpg (2nd Half: 2.26 gpg)
2004-2005: 2.29 gpg (2nd Half: 2.26 gpg)
As we can see, the Sioux under Hakstol have always been a very strong defensive team, especially in the second half of the season. While last year's team was very strong defensively, it was only the third best statistically under Hakstol, and second best in the second half. That's why I'm not too concerned about a fall off defensively.
If you want to call me a homer, that's fine, I am. However, I also like to have some sort of solid argument behind what I say other than ifs and buts. I also think I'm very level headed when it comes to North Dakota hockey.
Thank you! Excellent analysis!
There are other intangible factors at play here also. As defending WCHA champions, teams will not overlook us, the WCHA will be competative, and we will expect a lot from incomming freshmen. However, having the two WCHA championship trophies in our lobby, the incomming freshmen will be expected defend our WCHA titles. Yes, it will be a big challenge, but I have a feeling that with this incomming group that they will not dissapoint.