Re: UNH Wildcats 2016-17 -- We're Going to Have a Hockey Season Here!!
WIS Productions brings you the penultimate '16 edition of "Umile's Last Stand - The _____ for 600".
"Umile's Last Stand - The Quest for 600"
Coach Umile's current career wins total: 57
9
Wins Remaining to the next round number: 2
1
*Games Remaining (Next 2 Seasons - Min.): 56
Win Pct. Required to Hit Target: 37.5%
WIS Estimated Likelihood of Success:
67% 
2016/2017 Cupcake Conversion Ratio (CCR): 7/12 (58.3%)
* - minimum games remaining assumes 34 regular season games, and at least 2 games in the MBPBEGAM "playoffs"
Terrific week all around for the UNH Hockey program, what with some encouraging news (finally) emerging from the recruiting trails, and then a sweep of the home-and-home HE series against archrivals UMaine. WIS predicted a split in this space last week, and is thrilled to be wrong about the key Saturday road win at Alfond Arena, which has so often been a burial ground for UNH teams in the past. And while the 'Cats have left way too many cupcakes on the shelf in their OOC games, they've been downright omnivorous with their HE CCR, as the likes of the Black Bears, Minutemen and Warriors would be quick to admit. An 8-6-2 record SO easily could (and should) already feature a 10 win haul, with better performances against just two of Bentley, Colorado College, Sacred Heart and ASFU. But a 5-1-1 HE record has the 'Cats riding unexpectedly high in 2nd place in the conference.
Looking at the big picture ... WIS experts' projection that Coach Umile's Wildcats would amass
at least 10 wins in the opening 18 game stretch of the season is still alive and kicking, although the 'Cats will need to sweep next weekend's road game on the other side of the state, and then the non-conference meeting after the break against UMaine at Manchester. We've seen what UMaine looks like already; as far as in-state rivals Dartmouth are concerned, they stand at 3-5-2 with one win in their last 7 games (against mighty Robert Morris on the back end of a two game road series), so they've earned their cupcake status as well. The 10 win target in 2016 for UNH is still doable.
As a result of taking a pair of wins against their archrivals, including a tough road win up in the Downeast, WIS has upgraded its forecast for a happy ending to The
Quest to 67% - basically a two-in-three chance. As the numbers above reflect ... UNH now needs to win only 37.5% of its games for the rest of the season and next season combined to get Coach Umile to the next round number, and with 8 wins in 16 games (50%) so far - albeit during what is clearly the cupcake section of the schedule - a 2016/2017 UNH win total in the mid-teens is no longer unrealistic. Getting these last two W's was important, and another win or two should maintain some "breathing room" in reaching the goal. WIS continues to bank heavily on UNH recapturing its past "Champions of December" top form as 2016 comes to a close.
Predictions:
Saturday: UNH 2 Dartmouth 1
NEXT CUPCAKE ON THE SHELF: 12/30/16 vs. UMaine @ ManchVegas
IS BS35+4 PAYING ATTENTION YET?
With UNH Football's blowout season-ending loss to "don't call them D-2" behemoths James Monroe - er, no - James Madison University this past weekend, the new fangled light thingies at the inaugural season for Wildcat Stadium will be switched off until the Spring rolls around after a long, hard New Hampshire winter comes and goes. And BS35+4 will look at the Men's Hockey team enjoying a winning record, and only one spot off the top of Hockey East. This is hardly a new scenario in these here parts, so there's no reason to think things aren't going just swimmingly at this point. I can almost hear our boy whistling "Blue Skies" from here, as he skips through the Fox Run Mall during an impromptu Christmas - oops, I mean "Holiday" shopping trip to pick up some gifts for his family. He may even have gotten news from his fellow (more notable) "whistler" about how his anointed successor has finally found his recruiting mojo after a long absence. Knowing that Hockey will enter the 2017 schedule at or above .500, the decision - or maybe "The Decision" - may prove to be a genius move after all. BS35+4 is tempted to take his poodle for a walk while visiting friends in Effingwoods, and letting the little critter urinate on the WIS Estate.

Payback, as BS35+4 might point out, can be a ... well, you know.
